NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e311a651b5f1868e92ff88d3a69dbf3375cd1d1e1bb0ba908c6d6de0bee3b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,997 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 54c | 4,925$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.49 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 1,825$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.32 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 1,343$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.49 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 1,150$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Over | 55c | 1,090$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.48 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 53c | 912.63$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.94 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 45c | 554.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Over | 54c | 388$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…d347backed Over | 54c | 231.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccb…991dbacked Under | 45c | 216.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…e23ebacked Over | 56c | 208.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 205$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf372…f4c2backed Under | 47c | 189.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…cf07backed Under | 47c | 186.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…06aabacked Over | 56c | 186.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…40babacked Under | 45c | 178.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Over | 54c | 177$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ae…b872backed Over | 54c | 173.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…b782backed Under | 47c | 171.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…64d0backed Over | 54c | 142.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…7042backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 48c | 83.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Over | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 52c | 55.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 53.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…3c0fbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 36.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 36.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 33.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 53c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…fc4cbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 48c | 22.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 77c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. FlamesFlames won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.