NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x419bfee3320118aa7b628f5ebd8e5c230c145d95df8ddca87c76fe8d65883407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,755 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 58c | 17,955$10,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,414.08 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Over | 42c | 11,547$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,701.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 4,025$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 35c | 3,376$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.29 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 71c | 2,548$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.11 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 59c | 1,924$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.31 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 42c | 1,894$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.19 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 31c | 806.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 41c | 700$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 594.55$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 42c | 550$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.04 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 532.46$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 67c | 325$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 310.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 51c | 295.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 61c | 234.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 188.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…7913backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 42c | 112.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 51c | 77.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 56c | 76.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 58c | 52.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Over | 48c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 59c | 39.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 42c | 34.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Over | 42c | 33.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 42c | 32.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Under | 42c | 32.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Over | 42c | 31.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Under | 48c | 31.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 58c | 28.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 42c | 26.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 45c | 24.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Under | 53c | 20.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Under | 58c | 20.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Under | 58c | 20.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Over | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 62c | 18.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. FlamesFlames won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.