TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Mercer Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Western Carolina Catamountsof Western Carolina Catamounts, Mercer Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,044 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8738…222bbacked Mercer Bears49c12,443$6,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,047.8825556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mercer Bears66c5,319$3,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.355,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Western Carolina Catamounts52c5,215$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.462,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Carolina Catamounts27c4,421$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.641,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mercer Bears71c3,924$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.0126945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Western Carolina Catamounts51c3,866$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.292832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mercer Bears56c3,144$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.041,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts29c2,099$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.611,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Carolina Catamounts27c1,831$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.851,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Western Carolina Catamounts31c1,333$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.649448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Western Carolina Catamounts45c1,129$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.692,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Western Carolina Catamounts32c1,020$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.3325246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Mercer Bears46c799.96$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9816054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Western Carolina Catamounts44c748.79$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.3212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts44c715$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.132,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…4c18backed Mercer Bears74c668.35$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.682564%16 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Western Carolina Catamounts47c632.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3524847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Western Carolina Catamounts28c578.42$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.22,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Western Carolina Catamounts35c523.46$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3393,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Western Carolina Catamounts28c482$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.0684854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Western Carolina Catamounts48c475.27$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.763,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts55c448.26$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Western Carolina Catamounts41c428.1$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.271,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Western Carolina Catamounts48c398.25$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.111,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Western Carolina Catamounts46c339.03$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6925837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Western Carolina Catamounts59c310.84$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.162,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Western Carolina Catamounts32c284.31$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4864647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts55c274.03$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.321,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Western Carolina Catamounts40c227.85$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9460551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Mercer Bears44c225.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1415055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd29a…d236backed Mercer Bears52c205.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.061442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Western Carolina Catamounts46c199.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.922,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Western Carolina Catamounts44c198.28$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0342934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Western Carolina Catamounts12c196.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.523,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts47c181.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1122544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mercer Bears52c175.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.665,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Mercer Bears54c168.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.241,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Western Carolina Catamounts46c157.34$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6316255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Carolina Catamounts54c156.28$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.231,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Western Carolina Catamounts29c148.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.241,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Western Carolina Catamounts32c141.36$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4318548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Western Carolina Catamounts48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6521937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mercer Bears54c109.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Western Carolina Catamounts46c107.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.197045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Mercer Bears73c103.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1114049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Western Carolina Catamounts47c99.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6418644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Mercer Bears54c91.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5713565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Mercer Bears73c75.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercer Bears60c68.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.991,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mercer Bears53c63.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5550548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Mercer Bears66c62.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0817647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Western Carolina Catamounts33c60.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2527055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…0d73backed Mercer Bears69c56.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.171030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5599…326dbacked Mercer Bears75c52.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b98…e295backed Mercer Bears74c44.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.782245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Western Carolina Catamounts47c42.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.369150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Western Carolina Catamounts46c41.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.522950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked Mercer Bears55c37.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.825650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Western Carolina Catamounts46c37.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3411840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Mercer Bears53c37.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9155840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Mercer Bears54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.989353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Western Carolina Catamounts47c35.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9161244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Western Carolina Catamounts42c34.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1324951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Mercer Bears59c33.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Mercer Bears36c33.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Western Carolina Catamounts45c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1532850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Western Carolina Catamounts45c32.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1430050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mercer Bears54c31.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.242,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fd…d641backed Mercer Bears63c30.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.237663.2%48 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Western Carolina Catamounts46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6625829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Western Carolina Catamounts45c25.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0960954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts60c24.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6814451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Western Carolina Catamounts46c22.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3515066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Mercer Bears72c21.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.461154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Mercer Bears55c20.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3227650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Western Carolina Catamounts53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.44949%24 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Mercer Bears69c17.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2369350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.