Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8b3f077acf4479df7fa92effe26f1859040faffa90c9c6609a6e16ae3c5d922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,883 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85c…6439backed Yes | 18c | 11,364$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…b55fbacked Yes | 12c | 10,676$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 3,199$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.71 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 37c | 1,870$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.27 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 1,853$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 14c | 479$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 41c | 229.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 214.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 208.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 198.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 149.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Yes | 11c | 129.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +463.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 36c | 124.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 13c | 122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 12c | 113.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 107.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 11c | 96.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 42c | 94.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 73c | 89.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…c8bbbacked Yes | 13c | 75.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 27c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…0d73backed Yes | 43c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 74c | 21.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 74c | 19.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.