TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UNCG Spartans vs. Furman Paladins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Furman Paladinsof UNCG Spartans, Furman Paladins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,412 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked UNCG Spartans43c4,503$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.654,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UNCG Spartans56c2,701$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.215,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Furman Paladins41c2,258$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.612,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked UNCG Spartans33c1,994$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.5449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Furman Paladins52c1,777$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.552,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Furman Paladins57c1,745$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.4446446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Furman Paladins63c1,736$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.4926945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UNCG Spartans61c634.59$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.873,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Furman Paladins53c533.32$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.543,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ff…c4ccbacked UNCG Spartans39c492.14$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.233228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNCG Spartans33c423.73$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Furman Paladins51c398.61$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Furman Paladins42c396.11$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4464647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked UNCG Spartans65c338.46$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.24911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-83.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Furman Paladins31c316.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed UNCG Spartans41c241.84$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.151952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Furman Paladins31c229.91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.271,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Furman Paladins70c221.18$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3521549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Furman Paladins31c211.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8742934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked UNCG Spartans50c205.66$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNCG Spartans36c203.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.871,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed UNCG Spartans55c200.05$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.162458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UNCG Spartans30c198.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.562,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed UNCG Spartans52c188.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.55143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNCG Spartans18c167.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Furman Paladins36c154.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7125829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Furman Paladins62c151.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.022,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed UNCG Spartans33c149.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6513845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed UNCG Spartans51c137.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…0d73backed UNCG Spartans62c134.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.981030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5261…3ddbbacked UNCG Spartans39c127.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UNCG Spartans28c109.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.181,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked UNCG Spartans63c106.43$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4515240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed UNCG Spartans29c101.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7833855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Furman Paladins71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2949157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed UNCG Spartans44c83.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Furman Paladins76c77.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4514450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Furman Paladins70c74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.211,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Furman Paladins35c70.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.926851.5%35 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4178…8b48backed Furman Paladins73c67.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.176100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked UNCG Spartans48c61.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7420234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed UNCG Spartans68c59.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.334544.4%20 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Furman Paladins67c56.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6313456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed UNCG Spartans33c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1519522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Furman Paladins67c54.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.011,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed UNCG Spartans62c48.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac00…4a9bbacked UNCG Spartans26c46.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Furman Paladins61c45.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.531560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Furman Paladins51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.662753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Furman Paladins68c35.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.457655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed UNCG Spartans46c34.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8713650.7%69 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Furman Paladins45c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0116255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed UNCG Spartans61c32.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8318439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Furman Paladins65c30.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf602…c172backed Furman Paladins66c30.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.226159%36 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked UNCG Spartans72c27.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.863174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UNCG Spartans52c24.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5125…933abacked Furman Paladins71c14.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.