Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ea79988047641769aa9f4c1574fb774db866e101a3a42995f0e87f0d499b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,973 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 36,350$21,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,924.86 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 26c | 9,591$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,054.49 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 46c | 6,999$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 25c | 6,001$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.35 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 34c | 5,893$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 73c | 4,708$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.86 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 4,355$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.12 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 70c | 4,250$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 62c | 3,619$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 74c | 3,399$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.32 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…18f9backed Over | 74c | 2,962$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 41c | 2,468$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 74c | 2,025$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.5 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 56c | 1,960$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.81 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,630$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.99 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 26c | 1,282$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.75 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 32c | 1,249$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.35 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 22c | 1,135$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999.86$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 48c | 900$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 74c | 878.38$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Over | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…c1b7backed Under | 63c | 593.66$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 60c | 499.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 52c | 442.03$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 17c | 413.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 405.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Over | 31c | 397.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…ce21backed Over | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 59c | 337.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 38c | 317.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 73c | 302.94$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Over | 36c | 276.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 17c | 250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 230$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 16c | 202.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Over | 12c | 199.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 39c | 193.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 73c | 179.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 58c | 163.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 56c | 162.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 45c | 154.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 26c | 142.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 135.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…f958backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Over | 70c | 121.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 44c | 118.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 27c | 118.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 38c | 113.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 109.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 102.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 73c | 96.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 48c | 92.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 62c | 73.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 18c | 71.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 53c | 67.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 67.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 71c | 67.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Over | 63c | 65.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 62c | 64.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 25c | 62.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 43c | 57.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 39c | 57.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 68c | 57.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 53.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 50.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 58c | 49.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 42c | 48.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.