TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,902 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes56c53,308$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No44c20,657$9,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,613.6734144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c16,457$9,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,564.63,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No45c15,497$6,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,549.419139.8%76 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c7,063$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.221,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed No46c2,697$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.241741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes19c1,827$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.022520%5 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes56c1,323$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.781662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes37c1,310$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.574630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes55c1,274$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.9910361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No44c1,228$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68276234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No45c981.27$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.857251.4%37 W · 35 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes32c855.05$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706665.2%43 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes55c802.2$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.216129.5%18 W · 43 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c686.73$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.2581732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c663.78$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.681,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes42c576.84$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017855.6%99 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No44c529.99$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.798037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No44c466.78$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5835856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes26c423.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes21c413.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8626433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22431145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes55c399.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.987057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes55c313.45$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes57c224.56$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No64c213.64$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.386043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Yes46c209.09$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964055%22 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes54c199.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.953129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4178…c0d2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.78664%55 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes50c184$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes55c183.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857067.1%47 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6d…ece3backed Yes54c141.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.814254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Yes45c133.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-68.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No45c127.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.165326.4%14 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes55c123.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.76339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes56c116.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+31.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No44c115.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.881,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020753.6%111 W · 96 L+22.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No45c108.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.892147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No45c101$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5530054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5612538.4%48 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513851.4%71 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes56c98.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Yes55c91.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4434655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed No46c78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8766…0ef8backed Yes50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes51c77.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde0…edfcbacked Yes25c68.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf397…45c2backed Yes39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes44c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6422221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes54c55.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes55c54.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…adbabacked No76c47.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88c…f67dbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257958.2%46 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed No45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25bd…5516backed No45c42.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked No49c40.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.472161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Yes55c39.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.571833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014758.5%86 W · 61 L+15.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes55c36.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.995742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No62c35.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.320153.7%108 W · 93 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Yes52c35.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick69cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed No45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Yes55c33.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed No46c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes55c32.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815854.4%86 W · 72 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56861.8%42 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes50c29.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes45c29.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.377948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8a4…e797backed Yes55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes56c26.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158366.3%55 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.