Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92541c5b07996799acc6ed5a3bc36add02b7838d8145fbb9bd73718d945ee62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,134,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,134,258 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 53c | 521,614$274,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246,898.94 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 48c | 208,911$100,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,030.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 185,891$89,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,227.52 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 47c | 90,000$42,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,300 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 4c | 82,756$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.35 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 47c | 42,168$19,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,818.82 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 46c | 41,111$18,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,911.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 34,857$18,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,772.28 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 47c | 18,528$8,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,707.97 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 47c | 13,103$6,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158.4 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 8,273$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.67 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 47c | 8,181$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.94 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 7,797$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.67 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 62c | 6,203$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.2 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 6,022$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.12 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.95 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Under | 64c | 5,903$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…422bbacked Under | 53c | 5,661$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 10c | 4,999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.91 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 47c | 4,787$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.89 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 47c | 4,742$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.97 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 49c | 4,461$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 47c | 4,118$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.46 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 54c | 3,982$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 38c | 3,434$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 46c | 3,400$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 49c | 3,062$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.38 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Under | 53c | 2,368$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 2,326$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.85 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Under | 60c | 2,260$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 2,212$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…b3a2backed Over | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 1,832$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.54 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb16…d583backed Over | 21c | 1,737$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 29c | 1,450$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 72c | 1,450$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.16 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 1,400$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.77 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Over | 36c | 1,359$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.73 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 48c | 1,092$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.07 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 9c | 1,050$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 44c | 1,030$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Over | 48c | 909.08$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 47c | 866.81$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 48c | 838$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.24 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 48c | 750.04$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 63c | 737.38$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 47c | 668.22$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.06 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 649.94$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.59 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Over | 48c | 535.42$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 47c | 527.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 52c | 515.19$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 42c | 502.8$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 45c | 498.95$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 48c | 440.56$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 431$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 48c | 428.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 64c | 426$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 48c | 416.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 48c | 412.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 53c | 377.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 375.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 48c | 341.12$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 58c | 307.97$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 40c | 307.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 36c | 266.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 53c | 259.96$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 53c | 258.58$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 47c | 251$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 249.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under | 54c | 243$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Under | 55c | 239.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.