TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,686 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes63c12,324$7,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,558.4319073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No27c8,829$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.815250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No26c5,403$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.51,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No31c4,608$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.2747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes75c3,088$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No29c2,122$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No26c2,100$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54615341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd068…18f9backed Yes67c2,032$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes69c2,016$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.955451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ade…b5bcbacked Yes63c1,900$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c1,857$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.7277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes63c1,600$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.7618967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No43c1,447$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.7348344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes76c1,349$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.75100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes58c1,320$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.7429370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes73c1,301$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2912451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No26c1,201$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No27c833.51$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick32cpaid-81.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No26c796.83$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7937138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes63c702.49$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7839567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No38c526.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes68c515$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.86662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No37c508$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No27c499.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9968550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No39c472.2$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.421545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No25c448.76$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.632646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes73c431$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3123643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes74c405.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No18c357.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.911,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes73c341.3$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes75c333.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No31c323.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes73c320.39$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.112250%11 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes74c310.08$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.891,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No27c249.86$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4655750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c241.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.393,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No26c240.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.544548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked No27c239.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes58c226.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.775250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No26c192.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed No26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e41…240cbacked Yes75c180.83$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed Yes70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No28c162.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.088552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No28c149.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.918919.1%17 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No24c144.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes74c121.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.552560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes77c119.5$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2631834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No25c118.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.728653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d2…2421backed No27c116.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes73c114.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes68c110.52$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No37c103$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1120641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.043151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No37c102$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7420648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes63c102$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.749957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.964247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes72c96.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.263740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed No27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes73c88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes75c83.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Yes74c80.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes75c80.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.111457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes62c76$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.23145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e22…d36cbacked Yes75c66.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Yes74c63.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes75c57.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e2…e5f3backed Yes55c55.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes60c54.27$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7111046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes76c54.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Yes72c52.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.785100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No26c50.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.131546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…5891backed Yes74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No26c48.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5813347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes71c47.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6426346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No25c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7528721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb7ec…d3eebacked Yes75c46.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes72c42.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a49…4292backed No28c42.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes70c42.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64a0…9d35backed No28c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.