Mls · resolved market
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717acaaf2d5dfeee2663a317af9c44c85f2dc31d16133424a1705490bad111c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,564 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 11c | 8,174$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.14 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 6,554$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.94 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 10c | 4,156$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,548$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 1,201$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 13c | 1,184$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 10c | 699.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 10c | 600.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 471.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…7432backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 10c | 360.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 257.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 15c | 238.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 15c | 173$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 15c | 157$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 7c | 156$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 10c | 150.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 149.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?No won
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.