TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$986,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,105,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $986,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Canadiens54c342,580$184,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158,310.2916442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Rangers46c220,000$101,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,20015054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers46c203,703$92,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,703.0251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1776…e557backed Rangers46c102,910$47,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,338.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Canadiens54c85,550$46,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,35311644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Rangers47c85,200$40,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,04448545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens54c58,000$31,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,68024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canadiens53c32,100$17,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,086.7840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Rangers42c20,814$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.8850049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Canadiens57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.9716656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Canadiens63c13,464$8,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.4127448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Canadiens54c12,205$6,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,614.332429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Rangers46c12,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Canadiens57c11,700$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0315149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Canadiens54c10,446$5,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,805.34551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Rangers44c10,123$4,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,454.21258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Canadiens57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens57c10,000$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,28061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Canadiens54c9,401$5,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,324.469254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Canadiens54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1401662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Canadiens58c9,000$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7805552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Canadiens57c9,000$5,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.9732151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6808845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens54c7,539$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.8985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens54c7,429$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.111,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Rangers43c6,977$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rangers47c6,054$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.682,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers44c6,029$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.5661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c4…743fbacked Canadiens54c5,848$3,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens54c5,823$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.7827044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens56c5,400$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37627850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Canadiens55c5,250$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35515431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Rangers44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Canadiens56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9824945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers34c4,615$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.4461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Rangers47c4,260$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.244551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Rangers42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9929146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens58c3,804$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,61470249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Rangers43c3,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011151.4%57 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Canadiens72c3,214$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.2133234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Canadiens58c3,183$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.312,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Rangers44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens54c3,000$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.9962346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Canadiens58c2,944$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.016350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Rangers43c2,791$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers42c2,647$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.781,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers41c2,579$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.341,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens53c2,486$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.9643548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Canadiens56c2,400$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0569751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Rangers42c2,300$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.9683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Rangers46c2,200$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.988748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Rangers41c2,060$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.7314954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens55c2,040$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rangers47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Canadiens57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8603959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Rangers44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Canadiens54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9207750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Canadiens54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Canadiens57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9820450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Rangers26c1,995$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.4857157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Canadiens55c1,947$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.511058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Canadiens54c1,933$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.3315245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Canadiens53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.795660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers31c1,850$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Canadiens57c1,779$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9726750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Canadiens54c1,770$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.27358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked Canadiens54c1,756$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers34c1,660$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.561,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Canadiens56c1,655$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.5932150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers45c1,562$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.971,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Canadiens57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens73c1,286$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.951,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens75c1,278$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.092,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Rangers8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Canadiens55c1,200$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rangers45c1,182$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.952,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Canadiens62c1,148$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.5131828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rangers9c1,129$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.461,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Canadiens54c1,115$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1651949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers42c1,110$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.6689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Canadiens54c1,070$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.3345955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Canadiens53c1,063$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6142847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers41c1,055$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.811,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers9c1,054$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Rangers8c1,048$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3235551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Rangers42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Canadiens57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd74…888dbacked Rangers42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf691…04b6backed Canadiens54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Rangers42c964.14$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9448050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9355446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Canadiens54c924.07$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.077244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Rangers12c911.61$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3132653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0a…a0f0backed Canadiens75c899.99$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.996755.2%37 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01e7…3199backed Canadiens54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Canadiens57c746.8$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Rangers46c724.5$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0266552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Canadiens53c703.43$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.314837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.