NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc018f64ad6c8d4962ad17c388ae563844088f3020232cdce09ad5cce2419c27c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Canadiens, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 33c | 6,186$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.34 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 67c | 3,617$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.49 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Rangers | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.96 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Rangers | 67c | 1,276$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 67c | 1,206$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.86 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,202$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.37 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Rangers | 65c | 758.04$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…3871backed Canadiens | 34c | 591.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 62c | 574.05$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.38 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Canadiens | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rangers | 68c | 551.79$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Canadiens | 32c | 460.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Canadiens | 34c | 407$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 68c | 382.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Rangers | 66c | 324.4$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canadiens | 35c | 309.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Canadiens | 33c | 301.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 36c | 294.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…b16abacked Canadiens | 34c | 289.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Canadiens | 34c | 240.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Canadiens | 33c | 239$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canadiens | 32c | 197.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers | 62c | 196.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Rangers | 70c | 193.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rangers | 67c | 192.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rangers | 61c | 185$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 67c | 175.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Canadiens | 32c | 174.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 33c | 144.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Canadiens | 37c | 129.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Rangers | 66c | 129.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8a…093bbacked Canadiens | 34c | 127.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…7799backed Canadiens | 34c | 123.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers | 61c | 114.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Canadiens | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Rangers | 67c | 98.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Canadiens | 40c | 91.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Rangers | 62c | 85.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 68c | 73.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Rangers | 67c | 72.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Canadiens | 34c | 70.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canadiens | 66c | 70.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Canadiens | 34c | 56.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 66c | 53.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 67c | 51.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Rangers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Canadiens | 34c | 45.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Rangers | 64c | 38.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Rangers | 69c | 38.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Canadiens | 34c | 37.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…8bf1backed Canadiens | 34c | 34.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Canadiens | 34c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Canadiens | 35c | 32.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Rangers | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Canadiens | 33c | 31.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 65c | 31.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Rangers | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Rangers | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Rangers | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Rangers | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Rangers | 67c | 20.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rangers | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)this page
- Canadiens vs. RangersCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.