Champions League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab4fab2240e0ff00691add26fa2c5d56d715dbbc12262ec0349b2587d8ffae9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,940,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,954,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,940,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 975 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 54c | 6,378,346$3,458,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919,938.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 49c | 2,162,556$1,053,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053,700.39 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 48c | 1,448,124$698,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698,604.57 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 47c | 838,043$393,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393,094.96 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 39c | 325,641$125,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,640.95 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 34c | 270,000$90,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,500 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked No | 48c | 217,823$104,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,555.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 202,670$86,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,011.1 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 156,028$75,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,131.76 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 49c | 150,000$72,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,749.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 48c | 141,120$67,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,737.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 34c | 100,555$34,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,338.75 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 50c | 95,571$47,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,829.78 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 49c | 91,502$44,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,408.77 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 48c | 90,000$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,200 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,400 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed No | 45c | 69,561$31,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,214.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 47,139$22,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,690.87 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 49c | 45,080$22,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,089.2 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 48c | 44,500$21,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,360 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed No | 49c | 42,857$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 49c | 40,803$19,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800.96 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 34,407$16,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,997.28 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 28,719$13,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,770.21 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 42c | 28,476$12,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,030.93 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 49c | 27,669$13,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,557.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 59c | 27,136$15,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,165.94 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed No | 48c | 27,128$13,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,021.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 25c | 25,620$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,405 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 51c | 24,191$12,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,895.36 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 25c | 23,999$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.75 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 49c | 22,980$11,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,260.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 48c | 21,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked No | 48c | 20,827$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 20,706$6,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,441.01 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 20,500$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,188.94 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 52c | 19,221$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,225.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 48c | 19,204$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,279.91 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 40c | 19,145$7,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,747.62 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 19,017$9,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,114.68 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 48c | 17,168$8,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,244.79 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 50c | 16,348$8,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,102.12 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 48c | 13,720$6,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,585.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 12,601$5,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890.78 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 50c | 12,030$5,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,955 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 52c | 11,660$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.28 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 42c | 11,067$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked No | 48c | 10,484$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 51c | 9,966$5,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,082.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 49c | 9,504$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.96 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…aa76backed Yes | 53c | 9,365$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 48c | 9,096$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 50c | 8,813$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 48c | 8,624$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.52 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 53c | 8,500$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 8,102$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.01 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 49c | 7,500$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 26c | 7,400$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No | 25c | 7,285$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 53c | 6,601$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ea…e9afbacked Yes | 49c | 6,408$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 5,750$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.19 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 53c | 5,661$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.61 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 24c | 5,201$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.94 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Yes | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.93 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 50c | 4,900$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 50c | 4,674$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.66 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 4,275$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.26 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 49c | 4,224$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.7 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 51c | 4,060$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 48c | 4,007$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.75 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…2beabacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +271.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed No | 48c | 3,920$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes | 50c | 3,612$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed No | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 62c | 3,429$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.6 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 48c | 3,386$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 51c | 3,316$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.69 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.