TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Mariano Navone

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wongof Wong, Navone
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Navone31c5,749$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.842,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Navone48c3,043$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.2424846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Wong52c3,035$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.812442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Navone48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9916825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Wong52c2,951$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.615452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Wong80c2,215$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.994557.8%26 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Navone37c1,245$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-69.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wong53c1,208$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.932,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Wong54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1159151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Navone33c987.61$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.972,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Navone10c700$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.410729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Navone44c694.33$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.912,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wong45c641.43$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.676,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec6…7566backed Wong80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wong53c488.22$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.71,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Navone30c432.64$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.119762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Wong47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.532458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Wong52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6210862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb182…62e8backed Wong79c376.52$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wong52c371.88$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.681,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Wong52c361.61$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5713852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Navone48c333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.84540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Navone17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Wong45c259.56$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.761,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Wong52c247.46$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7872452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf26…3edebacked Wong61c246.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.752050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wong76c234.42$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Wong53c231.37$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7493055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Navone47c228.05$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1814744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Navone45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9916044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wong51c215.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8227944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wong58c211.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9173048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Navone49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Wong68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6418644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked Navone42c188.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.937042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Wong53c183.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.027040%28 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wong52c176.66$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.634842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Navone39c160.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1526921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Wong38c159.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9510252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Wong60c150.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.264350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Wong52c145.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.982055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Navone33c145.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3723847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Navone48c136$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2818548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Navone31c131.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0288455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Navone39c128.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.367,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Navone23c114.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.371,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Navone47c113.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1455143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Navone40c113$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b3…f062backed Wong54c111.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4f…3ae6backed Navone19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe700…dc26backed Navone48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-69.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Navone53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.42937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Wong70c95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4291…b6bdbacked Wong54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.24658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Wong59c89.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8319167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Navone42c86.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.517655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Wong48c81.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.142326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Navone20c80.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3228139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Wong69c79.79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.913941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Wong64c78.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.469857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Navone66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda5…bb92backed Navone48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Navone46c69.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.412,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0d…5087backed Navone35c68.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.651353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Wong80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1286470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7790…e3a0backed Wong55c56.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.428100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Wong53c56.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.252,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1b…31a8backed Navone48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Navone43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511054.5%60 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Navone47c46.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Navone48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Navone42c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.412,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Navone49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Wong53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9848852.9%258 W · 230 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wong57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedf…8817backed Wong61c29.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212e…e44abacked Wong46c25.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc776…2915backed Wong68c25.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b9…f126backed Wong80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db6…8f12backed Navone40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0247…bb07backed Wong78c23.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Wong74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Wong53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.434851.1%178 W · 170 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe497…5403backed Wong80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick62cpaid+49.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Wong52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af4…dc6abacked Wong53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.