TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Knicks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,959,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,206,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,959,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,644 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Knicks54c1,234,176$666,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666,45510049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pistons46c500,000$230,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Pistons47c235,000$109,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,399.9912147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons46c222,020$103,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,947.821,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks53c198,839$105,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,384.6987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Knicks53c123,372$65,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,387.24946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks54c120,000$64,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,600.0951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pistons46c108,256$49,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,457.9959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Pistons44c95,000$41,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,199.984456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons46c93,422$43,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,125.971,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons46c90,800$42,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,6921,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Pistons56c79,673$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,672.7216846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks53c75,000$39,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,623.41,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Pistons47c63,068$29,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,426.239263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons47c50,936$23,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,99659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons47c48,436$22,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,796.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks15c47,857$7,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,078.551,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Knicks52c46,000$23,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,896.5919048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Knicks56c40,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,40011547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Pistons47c38,619$18,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,606.727941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pistons46c37,557$17,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,280.9759653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Pistons46c36,553$16,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,738.5129245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Pistons46c35,691$16,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,253.28543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons64c33,053$21,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,994.363,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Pistons46c31,790$14,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,166.611653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks6c30,479$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Knicks52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,599.9317250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons45c29,951$13,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,601.062,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pistons44c28,377$12,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,755.82,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Knicks55c28,000$15,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,287.949343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Knicks53c27,982$14,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,830.5616942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Knicks53c27,128$14,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,377.8415247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Pistons47c27,127$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,377.1514243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Pistons48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.9529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Pistons49c24,516$12,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,503.0221450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Knicks52c24,516$12,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,748.1817861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons43c24,175$10,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,708.542,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks32c23,517$7,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,474.871,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Pistons43c22,500$9,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,825.195259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ef7…444ebacked Knicks57c22,500$12,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,824.94714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-80.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks56c22,217$12,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,352.641,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab0c…3026backed Knicks53c20,770$11,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,014.561637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Pistons48c20,550$9,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,746.9515740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Pistons48c20,333$9,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,573.2630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Pistons48c19,002$9,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,931.0521951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea6…80b0backed Pistons48c18,750$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,750742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Knicks52c18,643$9,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,694.2817554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5a…b27bbacked Knicks8c18,188$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons46c17,818$8,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,662.492,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc153…6c8bbacked Knicks56c16,995$9,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,517.21376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks52c16,753$8,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,711.511,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons47c16,477$7,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,701.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Knicks23c16,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68010961.5%67 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pistons48c13,823$6,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,188.9550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…3f6ebacked Pistons48c13,750$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,150450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks0c13,433$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.968820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Pistons48c13,007$6,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,763.587149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Pistons46c13,000$5,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0205534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Knicks52c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,239.9674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Knicks47c11,519$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.868150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Pistons55c11,031$6,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.1810158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Knicks53c11,000$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,83029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons44c11,000$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons47c10,961$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,807.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Pistons71c10,809$7,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.6710049%49 W · 51 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d4…08d2backed Knicks57c10,635$6,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,109.431850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Pistons71c10,500$7,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03537944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c7…2377backed Pistons48c10,369$4,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,391.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+121.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks55c10,118$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,534.378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Pistons46c10,118$4,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,463.832138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Knicks52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2003745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0b…7ba0backed Knicks61c9,940$6,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,063.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Pistons48c9,642$4,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,013.7411750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Knicks53c9,362$4,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,961.983452.9%18 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons46c9,164$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.772,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Pistons46c8,871$4,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,790.3419560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Knicks53c8,500$4,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.8547043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pistons46c8,295$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.361,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Pistons46c8,236$3,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,447.444344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Knicks49c7,757$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800.21,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Knicks43c7,434$3,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,224.512843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Pistons46c7,097$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,832.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Pistons48c7,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Knicks52c7,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,66017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Pistons48c6,374$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.5836351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks52c6,290$3,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.9976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons48c6,277$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.7534456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…bb31backed Pistons66c6,233$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.19580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pistons45c6,221$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.0530947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Pistons73c6,093$4,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.896241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Pistons48c6,047$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.543568.6%24 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Pistons46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2402450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Knicks57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.9926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Pistons51c5,987$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.8521944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks18c5,922$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.571,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Knicks57c5,877$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35028649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks52c5,716$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.511,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Knicks54c5,600$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3736…b973backed Pistons44c5,600$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Knicks54c5,537$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.138046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.