NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58ad7fd5006032fc2acc0fccd4bf805fc718fdf057e4887945b4c453aced532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 50c | 202,356$100,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,971.24 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 115,162$57,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,581.18 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 29,144$14,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,434.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 6,140$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 5,229$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.47 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 3,815$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 3,243$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.01 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Under | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 2,367$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Over | 49c | 2,030$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.7 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,835$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.31 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 1,761$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 52c | 1,579$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.77 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 904.75$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.28 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 53c | 899.92$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 46c | 706$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Under | 51c | 621$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.29 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 581.51$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 51c | 394.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Under | 50c | 349.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 52c | 314.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 218.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 163.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…4378backed Under | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0854…fb45backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 94.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 51c | 81.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Over | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Under | 54c | 75.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa13c…7a1dbacked Over | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…4eaebacked Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Under | 51c | 54.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…ce48backed Under | 51c | 50.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 49.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Under | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Under | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…3264backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Under | 54c | 30.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 51c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…732cbacked Under | 51c | 25.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 52c | 23.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5this page
- Knicks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.