TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under51c126,358$64,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,368.3240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c32,725$15,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,759.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c21,669$10,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,899.62,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c21,650$10,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,576.161,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under51c18,528$9,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,099.0274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over49c16,616$8,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,187.371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over49c15,218$7,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,456.8259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over51c11,840$6,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,038.669049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c11,020$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.652,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c11,000$5,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3901,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c8,470$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.712,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddb…91aabacked Over49c5,968$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c4,921$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under50c4,500$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c4,375$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.453,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c3,253$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.342,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c2,762$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over51c2,443$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over44c2,032$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.0683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over50c1,495$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.484531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under56c1,030$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.273,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over25c1,012$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.132,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c1,004$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.975,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c993.18$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under52c960$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.220651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over52c915.69$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.1623850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over51c836.29$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5114255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under60c676.19$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4848957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c629.51$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.722,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under35c532.07$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.893,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under48c515.69$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.166546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c407.69$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.691,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…5646backed Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-64.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c381.82$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.271,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Under55c340.02$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.016453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over49c333$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.174553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over48c274$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5243052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c249.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.712,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under47c216.72$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.889850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea89…0ad7backed Under52c209.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.031428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-40.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under49c204.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0715649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9978652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c196$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.782,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under53c189.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0236450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over50c175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.515759.9%94 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa711…078cbacked Over51c153.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under39c152.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8623948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd0…732cbacked Over49c136.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.521050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked Under49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.74339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under49c118.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.888845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over48c106.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0339756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Over18c103.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1912727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6267…3ed6backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4937357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc337…c55bbacked Under53c95.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under69c94$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1415959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over49c89.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.231,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…0adcbacked Over49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355052%26 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ff…1f33backed Under52c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over50c55.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.551,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8d…4dc6backed Over49c55.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.965457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012951.9%67 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.59653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Over49c46.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.984252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Over49c46.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9811051.8%57 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8217853.4%95 W · 83 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1725…7405backed Over49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Over48c38.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.586155.7%34 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over32c35.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2730616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4050…6265backed Over49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over48c31.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1216852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…0f2dbacked Over49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.314251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc0…b866backed Under51c29.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.22875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under50c28.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.230244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Over49c27.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.484141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdaf…7556backed Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.752445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under49c24.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6393849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over50c24.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.350948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129957.6%57 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.