NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5a090699754180ad770357cc15e7f540b98fb182da40517ac276bb8e5f812b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Knicks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 64c | 1,613$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.86 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Knicks | 33c | 818.18$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…122ebacked Knicks | 38c | 736.84$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…5c2ebacked Knicks | 48c | 625.29$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Pistons | 74c | 567.08$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Knicks | 42c | 340.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 56c | 317.34$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Knicks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | -27.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Pistons | 70c | 247.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Pistons | 52c | 235.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Knicks | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…0561backed Knicks | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Pistons | 47c | 107.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Knicks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Knicks | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…24d4backed Pistons | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Knicks | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 55c | 85.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Knicks | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Knicks | 23c | 74.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Knicks | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Pistons | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Knicks | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Pistons | 48c | 44.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 231 | 39.8%92 W · 139 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0747…7e58backed Knicks | 37c | 35.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Knicks | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Knicks | 52c | 29.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…a912backed Pistons | 76c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Knicks | 55c | 18.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Knicks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.