NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe80cf33da4bd9166e72f79c5a20b988e08012c1ae9e7d69ea69379b134ce21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 54c | 6,348$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.83 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 46c | 5,420$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.01 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,587$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 2,688$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 48c | 2,550$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.83 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 2,307$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 861.77$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 790$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Under | 46c | 787.44$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 5c | 511.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…7c32backed Over | 66c | 310.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 52c | 265.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 47c | 153.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 137.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 54c | 116.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 41c | 101.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…6622backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…5646backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…c48abacked Over | 65c | 60.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 54c | 55.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…526dbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 54c | 22.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5this page
- Knicks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.