NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c46ad6c43d8cd8a985c5e5c5de667d96c02527b9dcf470340b63a4ae452691

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Knicks, Pistons
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $163,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $167,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,143 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb889…a430backed Pistons	59c	85,000$49,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,249.91	92	63%58 W · 34 L	+9.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Knicks	42c	33,265$13,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,985.92	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks	42c	19,382$8,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,044.28	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks	42c	14,169$5,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,891.97	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Knicks	46c	14,000$6,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,439.99	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Knicks	42c	8,179$3,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,435	173	44.5%77 W · 96 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Pistons	54c	6,820$3,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,137.37	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pistons	55c	5,914$3,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,659	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Pistons	58c	5,000$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,099.99	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	55c	4,347$2,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,962.19	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks	40c	3,015$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.76	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Knicks	42c	3,000$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245	156	53.8%84 W · 72 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons	55c	2,902$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.97	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Knicks	47c	2,340$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Pistons	59c	2,183$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.05	240	51.3%123 W · 117 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pistons	54c	2,018$1,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.78	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Knicks	41c	2,000$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	166	57.2%95 W · 71 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.99	753	47.5%358 W · 395 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pistons	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.97	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Knicks	41c	1,932$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.12	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Pistons	53c	1,790$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.97	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Knicks	47c	1,702$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed Knicks	44c	1,270$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks	41c	1,258$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.96	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pistons	58c	1,158$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.36	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Pistons	54c	1,130$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.76	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Knicks	49c	1,029$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Knicks	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Knicks	45c	884.35$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Knicks	47c	800$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks	48c	765$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.2	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks	41c	743$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.63	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks	41c	601.8$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.74	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Pistons	60c	600$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Pistons	51c	588.99$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.6	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons	57c	580.18$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.47	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Pistons	54c	555.56$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.56	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Pistons	54c	424.07$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.07	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Knicks	42c	357.14$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks	42c	349.68$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.53	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Knicks	47c	344.68$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Pistons	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks	47c	321.16$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.95	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Pistons	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Knicks	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Knicks	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Pistons	52c	240.38$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.38	229	53.7%123 W · 106 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Knicks	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks	42c	230.99$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.79	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e15…1afbbacked Pistons	52c	216$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.68	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x465a…88e5backed Knicks	49c	216$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.84	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pistons	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Knicks	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c1…6f06backed Pistons	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pistons	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc022…3da2backed Pistons	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99e8…92cebacked Knicks	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4465…baafbacked Pistons	60c	198.11$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.91	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Knicks	38c	193$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.34	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.23per pick	54cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Pistons	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Pistons	53c	180$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.6	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+10.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8cd0…732cbacked Knicks	42c	174.71$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons	60c	174.65$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.86	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Knicks	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Pistons	59c	152.54$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.54	175	45.7%80 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Knicks	41c	150$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Knicks	42c	147.57$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.98	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f8…97b3backed Pistons	53c	135.85$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.85	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x493f…c3b2backed Pistons	52c	134$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.32	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Knicks	24c	131$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Knicks	47c	127.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Knicks	41c	126.87$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.02	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Pistons	53c	126.25$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.34	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e42…8f95backed Knicks	42c	121.4$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Pistons	51c	119.06$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.34	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Knicks	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	59.1%94 W · 65 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks	42c	111.9$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Knicks	40c	109.75$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.51	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Knicks	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2722…697abacked Pistons	53c	105.66$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.66	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Knicks	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Knicks	42c	100.24$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.15	383	50.4%193 W · 190 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Knicks	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Pistons	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f5…4252backed Pistons	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Knicks	42c	95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Pistons	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Knicks	46c	77.43$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db2…9289backed Pistons	60c	74.17$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.83	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe5…fd84backed Knicks	48c	69$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.12	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Knicks	42c	68.46$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.59	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c99…6178backed Knicks	49c	65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Knicks	40c	64.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.09	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60aa…0df0backed Knicks	47c	63.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Knicks	41c	60.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.72	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Pistons	52c	59.71$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.4	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Pistons	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
Knicks vs. PistonsPistons won
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Under won
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event