TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ec1…5c2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.6
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.77
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$210.88
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$170
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+206.3%+$414.1
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$148.68
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.26
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$83.13
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$41.6
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$19.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$181.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$83.24
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$98.05
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$928.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$387.22
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team zoneR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$140.11
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+283.6%+$438.55
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60.28
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Heat vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$149.4
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$165.45
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$80.6
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+65.7%+$771.5
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.6%+$619.2
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$421.04
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$509.99
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$301.83
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$484
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300.56
Bucks vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$446.92
Pelicans vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$465.14
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$440
Timberwolves vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$256.22
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$432.96
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$266.39
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$584
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+159.3%+$215
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.2%+$428.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$360.78
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+108.3%+$260
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$56.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$113.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.