CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a8953ffc0a9fc64c46effcc4083178963c90feba7d01070cf18266c13ed044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof 3DMAX, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f6…23fabacked 3DMAX | 0c | 14,138$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed 3DMAX | 38c | 2,931$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.29 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked paiN | 76c | 2,299$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.88 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked paiN | 52c | 1,933$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.06 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 21c | 1,579$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 3DMAX | 31c | 1,519$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.76 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed 3DMAX | 20c | 1,008$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX | 19c | 889.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…34d7backed paiN | 63c | 838.84$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.34 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed paiN | 69c | 835.4$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.44 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 28c | 787.05$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 74c | 755.41$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX | 34c | 682.62$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked 3DMAX | 41c | 601.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 3DMAX | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 3DMAX | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX | 27c | 492.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 51c | 428.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed paiN | 69c | 423.23$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed paiN | 60c | 386.36$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked paiN | 60c | 334.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed 3DMAX | 26c | 316.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed 3DMAX | 39c | 304$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed paiN | 72c | 251.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed paiN | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed 3DMAX | 37c | 240.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed paiN | 65c | 229.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed paiN | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed paiN | 77c | 194.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 179.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked paiN | 72c | 177.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed paiN | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed paiN | 60c | 155.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked paiN | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 57c | 148.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed 3DMAX | 48c | 131$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…5c2ebacked 3DMAX | 47c | 126.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked 3DMAX | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked 3DMAX | 14c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX | 28c | 104.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed paiN | 77c | 103.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed paiN | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked paiN | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed paiN | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed 3DMAX | 22c | 88.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked 3DMAX | 23c | 80.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…466cbacked paiN | 53c | 76.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX | 23c | 73.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…fceabacked paiN | 69c | 72.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…dfe9backed 3DMAX | 17c | 61.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 3DMAX | 44c | 54.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked paiN | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked paiN | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed paiN | 53c | 49.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed paiN | 47c | 44.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d2…56e9backed paiN | 68c | 44.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…9983backed paiN | 70c | 42.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed paiN | 60c | 33.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked paiN | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed paiN | 54c | 29.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed 3DMAX | 46c | 29.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…1993backed paiN | 64c | 25.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked paiN | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed paiN | 69c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked paiN | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1paiN won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.