CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fe0423bb98c31c206b746b4bf0743051182ae9d2371fe7f52923c2b36d591e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed paiN | 44c | 5,949$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.62 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed 3DMAX | 56c | 3,000$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.5 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 2,393$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.74 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked 3DMAX | 56c | 2,000$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.82 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed paiN | 6c | 1,815$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked 3DMAX | 78c | 1,337$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.59 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN | 41c | 1,086$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed paiN | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 3DMAX | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed paiN | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed paiN | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 29c | 913.71$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked paiN | 24c | 864.1$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed paiN | 48c | 612.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed paiN | 9c | 600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed paiN | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed paiN | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 3DMAX | 52c | 412.08$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed 3DMAX | 56c | 348.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed paiN | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed 3DMAX | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked 3DMAX | 56c | 191.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed 3DMAX | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed paiN | 44c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked 3DMAX | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN | 30c | 126.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN | 16c | 120.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 30c | 119.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed 3DMAX | 68c | 114$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…fceabacked paiN | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed paiN | 31c | 108.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX | 55c | 105.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed paiN | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed paiN | 22c | 101.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX | 67c | 99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 3DMAX | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 3DMAX | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…e62fbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 71.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked 3DMAX | 70c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked paiN | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed 3DMAX | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed 3DMAX | 56c | 31.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 28.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed paiN | 42c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed 3DMAX | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1paiN won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.