TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pacersof Cavaliers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,446 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50b0…b1efbacked Cavaliers0c100,000$100 inLost-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-69.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked Pacers40c794.81$320 inWon+$474.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers42c695.25$292 inLost-$292.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec1…5c2ebacked Cavaliers61c694.02$421 inLost-$421.042347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers41c576.14$237 inWon+$339.514,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Pacers70c333.33$233 inWon+$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…9cbcbacked Cavaliers30c333.33$100 inLost-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Cavaliers60c305.79$182 inLost-$182.3116657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb92…b02dbacked Cavaliers64c232.42$148 inLost-$147.972040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Cavaliers63c158.73$100 inLost-$10061957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pacers37c140$52 inWon+$88.230454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Pacers37c131.68$49 inWon+$82.965540%22 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Cavaliers65c81.54$53 inLost-$531,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pacers35c81.54$29 inWon+$531,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Cavaliers38c52.63$20 inLost-$2074547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0266…2957backed Cavaliers58c50$29 inLost-$292661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7737…e2eebacked Pacers49c48.13$24 inWon+$24.562152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pacers37c40.98$15 inWon+$25.8293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pacers34c40.44$14 inWon+$26.692,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1a…0561backed Cavaliers61c40$24 inLost-$24.41650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330e…c22abacked Pacers39c38.95$15 inWon+$23.952548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c83…0f34backed Pacers75c21.54$16 inWon+$5.44757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Pacers70c19.96$14 inWon+$5.998027.5%22 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.