NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3bc0f8f72ebbdb981943cdb5fb0be9c8b6646f9cd7099094fa522ce310a8ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Cavaliers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pacers | 46c | 89,931$41,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,363.19 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 53c | 40,368$21,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,275.36 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…dd61backed Cavaliers | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 49c | 16,222$7,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,343.2 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Cavaliers | 54c | 13,516$7,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,298.47 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 47c | 12,876$6,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,864.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Cavaliers | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 9,785$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,211.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 54c | 9,684$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.12 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacers | 46c | 9,130$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930.05 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 8,888$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.64 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6905…e3c2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 6,419$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Cavaliers | 54c | 6,369$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.25 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pacers | 47c | 4,796$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.74 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Cavaliers | 53c | 4,700$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Pacers | 49c | 4,397$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.44 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Pacers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,395$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 2,794$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.73 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…66a5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pacers | 72c | 2,079$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.8 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,892$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,861$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 47c | 1,855$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,820$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.2 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pacers | 46c | 1,601$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.36 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 49c | 1,508$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.98 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…8f6ebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,343$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 46c | 1,178$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,118$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.91 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 46c | 999.97$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.75 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 64c | 988.01$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 28c | 969.86$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 965.45$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Pacers | 50c | 867.8$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.9 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers | 27c | 859.54$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.07 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Pacers | 47c | 723.98$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.81 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 665.99$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.97 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…51c9backed Cavaliers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Cavaliers | 53c | 499.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…2399backed Cavaliers | 51c | 413$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…a298backed Pacers | 50c | 413$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…aa74backed Pacers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…8288backed Cavaliers | 51c | 395$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 47c | 373.94$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.97 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pacers | 56c | 363.73$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Cavaliers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Cavaliers | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Cavaliers | 54c | 287$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Cavaliers | 54c | 276.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Pacers | 47c | 255.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Cavaliers | 54c | 225.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pacers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Pacers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…fd88backed Pacers | 47c | 204.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Pacers | 49c | 192$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…b5d1backed Pacers | 47c | 169.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cavaliers | 54c | 141$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Cavaliers | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers | 47c | 120.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Pacers | 47c | 109$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…ed7ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…e9b2backed Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Cavaliers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Pacers | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Cavaliers | 28c | 81.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 76.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…58cbbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 75.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Cavaliers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Cavaliers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1c…1f33backed Cavaliers | 47c | 67.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pacers | 50c | 66.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 65.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pacers | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Pacers | 47c | 63.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pacers | 50c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Pacers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…edffbacked Pacers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacers | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…76bbbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…9f3abacked Pacers | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Pacers | 47c | 51.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x909b…6a0dbacked Pacers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…6974backed Pacers | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.