TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under49c51,792$25,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,580.416846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c10,602$5,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,301.062,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c8,884$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,392.953,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c3,059$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under3c2,666$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9829810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c2,665$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over51c2,288$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c1,980$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c1,543$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over53c1,318$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.8592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c1,236$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.862,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over53c1,147$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1762546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c1,063$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.2850754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50016657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c1,000$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under51c980.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c972.9$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.122,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c953.75$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b0…5af4backed Over55c916.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.052944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over53c820.46$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.6243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c607.14$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under55c578.18$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31832151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c476.04$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c250.74$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.992,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Over52c176$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.487648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over52c167.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.351,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over49c141.4$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf3…6a9dbacked Over54c118.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Over52c114$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.724757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over48c99.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over53c87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8923153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c80.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.27142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over54c78.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.373,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Over51c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.734953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.663555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2198…d87bbacked Under47c68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Under49c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.13956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c65.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8431…4c78backed Under50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Over52c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.284957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under54c60.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.741,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6913651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6911348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8a…4de3backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under48c51.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.521,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ba…c20bbacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Over51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9826842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over51c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.043056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over51c44.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6250648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.682035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.628852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.623348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6220456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Over53c36.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.156155.7%34 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Under48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6415051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Under48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed Under49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.152445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.723753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.722048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.732649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.723850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.725250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Under48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.513953.2%74 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.523047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Under48c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.962360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c25.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.662,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over54c25.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.976250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7614648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7645251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.