NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ac4e0c35342992c31b80bdaac09a7f28cfcc0b8c11661b2f228ed9ee9186a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Cavaliers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Pacers | 50c | 69,139$34,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,569.5 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 50c | 58,503$29,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,475.89 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 58,294$29,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,146.68 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 34,540$17,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,270.17 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pacers | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 26,385$13,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,192.7 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Cavaliers | 51c | 22,499$11,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,474.49 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 22,262$10,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,908.77 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Pacers | 51c | 17,582$8,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,615.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 10,473$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Pacers | 51c | 9,875$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…9472backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,800$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers | 50c | 7,997$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.27 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 7,215$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Pacers | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Pacers | 49c | 6,326$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.1 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f422backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Pacers | 51c | 4,064$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.53 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,998$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.02 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…9435backed Pacers | 53c | 3,850$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e3ecbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 3,850$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Pacers | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…42a3backed Pacers | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…6313backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,485$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.63 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,301$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,626$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.86 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,582$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.08 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,121$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,087$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,026$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Pacers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea2…6a02backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,852$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Pacers | 50c | 1,752$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 50c | 1,662$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.59 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 35c | 1,635$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,475$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.48 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pacers | 70c | 999.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Pacers | 70c | 999.47$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.84 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 50c | 959.47$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.74 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 760$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Pacers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers | 50c | 460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 454.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers | 51c | 426.75$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Cavaliers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9da…06eebacked Pacers | 50c | 241.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Pacers | 54c | 224.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cavaliers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Cavaliers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cavaliers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Cavaliers | 50c | 199.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 165.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Pacers | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Pacers | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pacers | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2883…6ddabacked Pacers | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 47c | 120.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Cavaliers | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 45c | 120.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Cavaliers | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Pacers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Cavaliers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Cavaliers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Pacers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacers | 50c | 92.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pacers | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Pacers | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 44c | 82.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Cavaliers | 50c | 74.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Pacers | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Pacers | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…93a6backed Pacers | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Pacers | 51c | 57.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 48c | 54.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Pacers | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb771…e3fbbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Cavaliers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.