NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21ebdf1b52b22554c7ca26db56d199fbfe126d3b68be7fbf13a6e60f76f636e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 12,564$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,133.95 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 10,375$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 2,283$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 56c | 1,900$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 56c | 1,777$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 1,019$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 942.78$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 44c | 711.19$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.39 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 44c | 546.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 507.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 61c | 368.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 67c | 349.84$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 42c | 299.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…97b3backed Over | 61c | 164.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 164.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6aa1backed Over | 50c | 141.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 58c | 131$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Over | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 49c | 126.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 124.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 119.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 90.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 38c | 90.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 56c | 87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Over | 60c | 82.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 37c | 75.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 20c | 75.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 63c | 65.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 43c | 60.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 57c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4545…771fbacked Under | 43c | 57.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 53.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 62c | 47.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 44.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Over | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Under | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…0b88backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 39.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Under | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 41c | 30.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…5817backed Over | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Over | 65c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 56c | 20.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…acadbacked Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.