NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec5db288b003954c95a1f1b34f173f62476dd42cf942d375db5b8a98dff5d874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.97 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 50c | 42,035$21,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,005.56 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 36,065$17,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,339.44 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 29,744$14,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,872.12 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 11,560$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 9,778$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.7 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Over | 51c | 8,585$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.35 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…883dbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 7,379$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.54 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 50c | 7,302$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 6,556$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Under | 51c | 4,672$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 3,978$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 3,376$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Under | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 2,303$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 2,051$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,400$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 1,350$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Under | 48c | 1,190$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.58 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 6c | 1,086$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 52c | 999$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.21 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Under | 72c | 908.61$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 51c | 895.82$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.2 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 868.54$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 695.8$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.9 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 677.58$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.69 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 635.92$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 573.76$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.88 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 559.83$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 50c | 515$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 466.77$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.05 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 49c | 434.92$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.63 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 51c | 390.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 342.11$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 50c | 313$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…0dc5backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 61cpaid | +73%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…0819backed Over | 51c | 154.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 50c | 120.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Over | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…bb88backed Under | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 50c | 113.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 49c | 107.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Under | 50c | 100.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d187backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Over | 48c | 92.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 88.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 49c | 87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0085…77cbbacked Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 61.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 52c | 57.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ba…c20bbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Under | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 66c | 47.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Over | 30c | 46.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Under | 50c | 46.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Over | 47c | 42.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.