NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd087ea9413769fa9c08a3e1382c2ed3b2a31379c84dd284ba7abf3bb6ee92231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf95…eb74backed Over | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…c37dbacked Over | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…e3dabacked Under | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…a2a9backed Under | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 4,017$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 4,014$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 53c | 2,299$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 47c | 1,195$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.65 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 53c | 1,194$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.31 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 1,159$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 73c | 1,039$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.44 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 847$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 673.33$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 667.22$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.01 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Under | 62c | 586.92$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…51c9backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 539$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 47c | 498$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 47c | 416.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 46c | 356.78$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 24c | 344.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 302.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 300.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 56c | 294.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Over | 48c | 246$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 24c | 171$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 47c | 153.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 44c | 107.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 53c | 101$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 90.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 24c | 78.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 73.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 73.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Over | 34c | 69.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 56.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 53.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 72c | 52.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Under | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Under | 51c | 48.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Over | 42c | 41.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…a28ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 50c | 37.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 33.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 34c | 32.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 24.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 48c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…c789backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Under | 53c | 19.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.