Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce7cb7e1f55b21bcd0535a2e4645ee3d50b3456fdcc8e412c34b4419d2aa7cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof Anyone's Legend, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Anyone's Legend | 48c | 20,348$9,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,767.04 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Invictus Gaming | 52c | 13,025$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,209.5 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Invictus Gaming | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Invictus Gaming | 41c | 8,774$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.69 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Anyone's Legend | 51c | 5,447$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.89 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Anyone's Legend | 67c | 5,098$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.95 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Anyone's Legend | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.23 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Invictus Gaming | 53c | 1,653$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.78 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Anyone's Legend | 50c | 1,587$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.54 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Anyone's Legend | 47c | 1,423$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.74 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Anyone's Legend | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Anyone's Legend | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.84 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Anyone's Legend | 55c | 727.35$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…faf1backed Invictus Gaming | 59c | 700$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Invictus Gaming | 54c | 545.3$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Invictus Gaming | 51c | 418.16$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Invictus Gaming | 46c | 350.61$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Invictus Gaming | 53c | 304.71$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.71 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Invictus Gaming | 51c | 302.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Anyone's Legend | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 237.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Anyone's Legend | 45c | 214.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Invictus Gaming | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…0276backed Anyone's Legend | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Invictus Gaming | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Invictus Gaming | 50c | 175$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Invictus Gaming | 54c | 153.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…4084backed Invictus Gaming | 52c | 138$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Anyone's Legend | 47c | 124.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Invictus Gaming | 53c | 85.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Invictus Gaming | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 42.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Anyone's Legend | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Invictus Gaming | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -13.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Invictus Gaming | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Anyone's Legend | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Invictus Gaming | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc776…2915backed Invictus Gaming | 44c | 26.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Anyone's Legend | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.