TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$389,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No33c40,755$13,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,137.684,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes2c30,655$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.665750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c20,996$14,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,573.742,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c14,318$8,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,530.16,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No76c10,475$7,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,51410057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes64c9,045$5,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,789.063551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No79c8,233$6,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.8442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes30c7,141$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.924641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes31c5,999$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.691338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes25c5,800$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4502638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes28c5,800$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6505154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes30c5,538$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.6425836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9849…36f0backed Yes2c5,000$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes24c3,777$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.4821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c3,428$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8571,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c3,088$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.032,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes64c2,827$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes29c2,643$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.058842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes24c2,082$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6811443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes27c2,000$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.2317042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No76c1,985$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.2927750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c1,934$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.991,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes24c1,833$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No75c1,807$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes28c1,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.993125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes26c1,481$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe413…32d3backed Yes31c1,450$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes25c1,392$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3486437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa16a…33a1backed Yes7c1,342$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No71c1,316$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.771,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes73c1,265$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.427342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes19c1,250$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4418123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebee…3278backed No76c1,106$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No76c1,100$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes76c1,031$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.545759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.953630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5642…d4cdbacked Yes31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes24c844.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes31c820.35$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25417234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c818$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.011,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes23c772.83$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31fb…edf2backed Yes75c763.42$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes29c758.79$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No60c720.7$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9525530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes20c684.57$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.227035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes30c676.67$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked Yes24c655$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes18c639.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4626319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No49c585$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.026325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No72c562.39$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c547.6$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.91,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes20c500.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005139.2%20 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c500$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5123632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4f…a6b9backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes20c499.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9923325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No75c496.59$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.155942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No20c450.53$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12a…83efbacked Yes24c441.67$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed No25c433.31$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.313231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce77…75d7backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x619f…32e9backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No17c372$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6243241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes31c353.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5511446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes63c350$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.54643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes29c348.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes27c343.58$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.382832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes31c327.58$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5515543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed No15c275.65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.382025%5 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes24c261.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7819735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No45c257.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3110448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes79c252.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes8c236$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.444413.6%6 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes25c230$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.527227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf207…17acbacked Yes30c226.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-72.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed No66c221.74$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.562250%11 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c218$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No69c208.52$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.381,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No73c207.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed No37c200.55$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.164829.2%14 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes20c200.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.952944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2977…a4dfbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-77.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564045%18 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.