TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$442,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$503,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20d6…3856backed Yes21c47,500$9,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,524.973548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No72c19,296$13,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,946.6727750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c16,691$12,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,800.776,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes27c15,129$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,029.413933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes22c13,500$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5302437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c13,463$10,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,521.672,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed No78c12,725$9,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,925.51966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c12,128$7,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,071.922,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No77c10,367$7,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,982.5910057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes23c10,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,699.996240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No79c8,693$6,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,867.793063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes22c8,400$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,557.9619735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes24c7,466$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,674.0985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes21c7,177$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,677.031258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick29cpaid+118.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes69c5,699$3,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.73551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85024146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8212…6677backed No50c4,974$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No58c4,839$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.7342043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c4,458$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.44,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e83…ad33backed Yes18c3,913$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+185.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c3,463$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.881,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No40c3,367$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.531,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c3,050$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes9c3,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked Yes23c3,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3104252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes23c3,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.997929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes40c2,809$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.193231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked No50c2,724$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.192254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes50c2,601$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.911,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c2,443$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.2469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked No77c2,428$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.384264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes58c2,338$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.498145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No43c2,300$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98316737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No1c2,281$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.126735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9914258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No77c1,948$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.961770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No77c1,938$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.4311149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes22c1,800$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.0152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No79c1,599$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.3656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb638…4fd1backed Yes19c1,579$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+363.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes22c1,500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ee…f7a7backed Yes69c1,478$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.72650%13 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc270…a462backed Yes42c1,387$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+90.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No77c1,250$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.510960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes67c1,224$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8825225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No47c1,200$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.52532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No78c1,198$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.861,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes20c1,124$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.317326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes41c1,100$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.131533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes60c1,097$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.772920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick20cpaid+287.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed No41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4376…c247backed Yes18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+153.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes24c988.55$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.314854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce0…8883backed No75c971$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes22c965.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.4772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Yes22c950$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.582152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91dc…2813backed Yes23c910$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0917234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.09933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.097237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes21c875.14$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.365942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes57c849.65$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.167740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3322125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa68f…7152backed Yes69c796.67$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes22c712.01$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.471,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb441…89a1backed Yes70c680.77$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13bf…be7abacked No60c665.33$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes23c661.18$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.111741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…3296backed Yes55c637.62$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fce…f2e3backed Yes40c631.27$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No60c618.12$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9625530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed No50c617.86$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.524045%18 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes23c609.57$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.0722229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…3937backed No60c601.23$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7597…cd03backed No75c600$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+246.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes23c600$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46218551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a9…0c18backed Yes25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e36…1195backed No34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Yes26c576.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.921936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c560$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes59c540.19$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes19c530$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.33531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed No78c512.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No60c508$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.87252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed No79c506.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No78c501.45$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.133873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+48.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed No59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2956743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xceef…9994backed No70c496.24$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No51c488$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.889732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…c6b3backed No64c469.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.556420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.559134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e70…9a38backed Yes69c427.87$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a55…5174backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+167.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked Yes51c397$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5429458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce4…4b70backed Yes65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.