NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff4d6d22663bf8a2b1bcc8ff8755e5cbe02853401770a41d94cfa8933e7cd05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Jaguars, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,162,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,554,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,162,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 754 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Jaguars | 67c | 149,254$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,253.73 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Colts | 34c | 131,194$44,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,163.56 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5a95backed Colts | 31c | 103,308$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Colts | 32c | 90,772$29,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,436.13 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…73a4backed Jaguars | 67c | 86,558$57,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,564.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jaguars | 59c | 75,241$44,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,975.25 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Colts | 34c | 60,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colts | 33c | 50,926$16,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,662.12 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Colts | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Colts | 32c | 42,005$13,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,438.68 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Colts | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.88 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jaguars | 67c | 36,054$24,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,878.39 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Colts | 34c | 31,930$10,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,742.18 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jaguars | 69c | 30,797$21,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,549.77 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Jaguars | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Colts | 30c | 28,392$8,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,641.65 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Jaguars | 68c | 25,000$17,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Jaguars | 70c | 24,866$17,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,538.42 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Colts | 31c | 22,450$6,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,875 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Colts | 6c | 22,095$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.8 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Jaguars | 68c | 20,601$14,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,592.32 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Jaguars | 68c | 19,314$13,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,274.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colts | 19c | 19,169$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.28 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Jaguars | 77c | 19,128$14,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.57 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jaguars | 68c | 19,073$13,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,059.89 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Colts | 33c | 18,182$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Jaguars | 78c | 17,700$13,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Colts | 29c | 16,614$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.95 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jaguars | 70c | 16,001$11,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.17 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Jaguars | 67c | 14,918$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colts | 40c | 14,447$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.8 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 35c | 13,665$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.72 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Colts | 4c | 12,267$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.52 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ef40backed Jaguars | 62c | 12,227$7,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Jaguars | 69c | 11,520$7,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Colts | 34c | 10,471$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.1 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colts | 8c | 10,430$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.34 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…6786backed Jaguars | 70c | 10,104$7,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked Jaguars | 71c | 10,100$7,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Jaguars | 59c | 10,087$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.4 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Colts | 30c | 10,010$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…46f4backed Colts | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Jaguars | 55c | 9,519$5,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colts | 36c | 9,491$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.53 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jaguars | 68c | 9,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.98 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jaguars | 69c | 8,044$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.57 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Colts | 34c | 7,680$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.19 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Jaguars | 67c | 7,489$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Colts | 53c | 7,226$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.25 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Jaguars | 69c | 6,400$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Colts | 51c | 6,325$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.05 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Jaguars | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Jaguars | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jaguars | 68c | 5,913$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.18 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colts | 31c | 5,750$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.15 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Jaguars | 67c | 5,600$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Colts | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Jaguars | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…6cc5backed Colts | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Jaguars | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Jaguars | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Colts | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Jaguars | 61c | 4,900$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jaguars | 70c | 4,887$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.03 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colts | 31c | 4,808$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.71 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Colts | 13c | 4,503$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.77 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Colts | 24c | 4,494$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.89 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Jaguars | 70c | 4,493$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.6 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jaguars | 62c | 4,219$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.19 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Colts | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Colts | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colts | 4c | 3,882$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Jaguars | 70c | 3,828$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.49 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Jaguars | 68c | 3,758$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Jaguars | 69c | 3,716$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.94 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…629cbacked Jaguars | 68c | 3,685$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Jaguars | 70c | 3,674$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Jaguars | 55c | 3,628$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.2 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Jaguars | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.19 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Jaguars | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.43 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Jaguars | 68c | 3,520$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colts | 32c | 3,501$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.69 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colts | 27c | 3,409$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.18 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Jaguars | 54c | 3,311$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.22 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Colts | 31c | 3,200$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.99 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Jaguars | 72c | 3,080$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jaguars | 69c | 3,033$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.34 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Colts | 33c | 3,012$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.85 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Colts | 33c | 3,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…f3d2backed Jaguars | 70c | 2,982$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Jaguars | 67c | 2,955$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Jaguars | 66c | 2,949$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.89 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Jaguars | 50c | 2,918$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Colts | 30c | 2,860$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Jaguars | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Jaguars | 71c | 2,765$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Jaguars | 65c | 2,750$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jaguars | 70c | 2,683$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.77 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Colts | 35c | 2,628$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.27 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Jaguars | 59c | 2,522$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaguars vs. Coltsthis page
- 1H Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Colts won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: 1H MoneylineColts won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 43.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 44.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 45.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 46.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 47.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5Under won
- Jonathan Taylor: Receiving Yards O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Colts (-1.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)Colts won
- Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.