NFL · resolved market
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d12b7dde238803a0ca8f2ea49963a2a74970ae3d4ef4c2375471ddfcdad5eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Jaguars, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Jaguars | 42c | 40,985$17,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,213.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Colts | 58c | 40,048$23,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,820.29 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jaguars | 43c | 19,517$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,465.34 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Colts | 54c | 16,972$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,807.02 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colts | 49c | 15,908$7,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,146.95 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Jaguars | 52c | 15,244$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Jaguars | 46c | 15,081$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Jaguars | 49c | 15,000$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,296.48 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Colts | 58c | 13,373$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.25 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colts | 53c | 11,585$6,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.93 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colts | 50c | 9,511$4,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,767.74 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jaguars | 50c | 4,984$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.96 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Colts | 57c | 4,601$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.11 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Colts | 60c | 3,950$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.5 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Jaguars | 44c | 3,928$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.32 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colts | 51c | 2,737$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.22 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Jaguars | 43c | 2,700$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Colts | 50c | 2,588$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.24 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Jaguars | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colts | 57c | 2,297$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.78 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Jaguars | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Jaguars | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Colts | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jaguars | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.98 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Colts | 57c | 1,741$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.14 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Colts | 57c | 1,366$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.49 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Colts | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Jaguars | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Jaguars | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Colts | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jaguars | 40c | 895$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Colts | 56c | 878.19$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.63 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Colts | 58c | 799.92$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.97 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Colts | 44c | 711$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.27 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Jaguars | 43c | 689.97$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.69 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Jaguars | 31c | 637.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Jaguars | 42c | 612.61$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Jaguars | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Colts | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jaguars | 43c | 499.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.85 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Colts | 59c | 488$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.08 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Jaguars | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Jaguars | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Jaguars | 45c | 439.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Colts | 54c | 434.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Colts | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Jaguars | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Colts | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Colts | 55c | 310$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jaguars | 48c | 308.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Colts | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Colts | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Colts | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colts | 71c | 257.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Colts | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Colts | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Colts | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…e115backed Jaguars | 43c | 238.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Jaguars | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Colts | 55c | 217$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Jaguars | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Jaguars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Colts | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Jaguars | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Jaguars | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Colts | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Colts | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Colts | 58c | 179.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Colts | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…a42bbacked Jaguars | 47c | 168.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Jaguars | 41c | 146.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 66c | 130.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jaguars | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Colts | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Colts | 58c | 119.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Colts | 63c | 113$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Jaguars | 45c | 109$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Jaguars | 48c | 108.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Jaguars | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6892…5b42backed Jaguars | 43c | 103.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jaguars | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Jaguars | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Jaguars | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Jaguars | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Jaguars | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Jaguars | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Colts | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Colts | 56c | 81.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Colts | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Jaguars | 43c | 78.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…35cbbacked Jaguars | 40c | 78.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Jaguars | 47c | 74.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Jaguars | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Colts | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jaguars | 43c | 67.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Colts | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Colts | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Jaguars | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Colts | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Colts | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Colts won
- Jaguars vs. ColtsJaguars won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: 1H MoneylineColts won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 43.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 44.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 45.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 46.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 47.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5Under won
- Jonathan Taylor: Receiving Yards O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Colts (-1.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.