NFL · resolved market

Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc26e0ac5d481e829179e98b4124f622df88cafc019779d649606a45a5fd973ec

Rebuilt 11 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $328,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $340,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,111 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over	50c	139,099$70,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,123.21	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under	49c	124,364$61,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,153.81	168	60.7%102 W · 66 L	+18.7wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under	50c	60,000$29,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,299.97	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over	51c	19,608$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over	40c	19,293$7,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,717.36	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	44c	16,922$7,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,509.33	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Over	51c	9,265$4,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,707.34	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.6wins	+0.32per pick	58cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over	45c	8,875$4,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,021.48	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	7,673$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,839.86	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	55c	7,253$3,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,264.05	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under	49c	6,099$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,098.93	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under	49c	5,146$2,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,624.63	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	51c	5,003$2,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,551.5	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.29per pick	56cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	51c	3,745$1,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,910	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Over	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-7.7wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	48c	1,700$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over	39c	1,648$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.88	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under	53c	1,643$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.33	71	64.8%46 W · 25 L	+10.7wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe76f…1eacbacked Under	50c	1,196$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.04	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	266	48.9%130 W · 136 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-7.8wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	45c	978.44$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.46	356	48%171 W · 185 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	50c	850$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over	51c	784.31$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	166	48.2%80 W · 86 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	49c	602.97$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.51	266	49.6%132 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	51c	601.96$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	51c	600$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	-8.2wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3381…52bcbacked Over	52c	527.2$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.74	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Over	51c	509.8$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	50c	480.18$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.73	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Under	5c	421.05$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	+13.9wins	+0.13per pick	10cpaid	+428.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	124	45.2%56 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	48c	378.03$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.57	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Over	51c	313.73$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed Over	51c	303.92$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over	51c	245.1$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Over	51c	205.88$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Over	51c	205$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.55	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	164	51.2%84 W · 80 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd5…57eebacked Over	51c	198.01$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.99	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under	50c	167$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.5	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under	49c	159$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.09	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Over	51c	143.14$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over	51c	139$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.89	203	54.7%111 W · 92 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa224…4cb8backed Under	48c	106.64$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Over	52c	100.43$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.11	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under	49c	97$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.47	65	58.5%38 W · 27 L	+6.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	48c	96$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.34	320	43.8%140 W · 180 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ce…5d26backed Over	52c	96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	39cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e9…5729backed Over	51c	82.35$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb3…c801backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over	51c	48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…1dbebacked Over	52c	47.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Over	51c	47.04$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over	42c	46.42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.19per pick	38cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6788…f69dbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+4.7wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52a2…12b2backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Over	51c	38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over	51c	37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Over	51c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb34…93a5backed Over	51c	35.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Over	50c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Over	50c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbc…7976backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Over	50c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked Over	50c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	342	47.4%162 W · 180 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…a0b7backed Over	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b02…399dbacked Over	51c	28.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under	49c	26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.26	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Under	50c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a45…36dcbacked Over	51c	23.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Over	51c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b1…e667backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	51c	19.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	209	44.5%93 W · 116 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5this page
1H Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Colts won
Jaguars vs. ColtsJaguars won
Jaguars vs. Colts: 1H MoneylineColts won
Jaguars vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 43.5Under won
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 44.5Under won
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 45.5Under won
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 46.5Under won
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 47.5Under won
Jonathan Taylor: Receiving Yards O/U 17.5Under won
Spread: Colts (-1.5)Jaguars won
Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)Jaguars won
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Jaguars won
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)Jaguars won
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)Jaguars won
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)Colts won
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)Colts won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event