TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52a2…12b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.86
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.44
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$185.51
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.6%+$169.42
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.39
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.8%+$27.83
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.17
Spread: 49ers (-1.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.62
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+60.8%+$13.28
Spread: Saints (-2.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.8%+$29.08
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+106.7%+$16.11
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+39.2%+$13.94
All 25 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$29.34
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.69
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+34.4%+$46.31
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+68.5%+$20.28
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+87.2%+$32.28
Miami vs. Ole Miss: 1H Moneylinebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+87.2%+$8.89
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+201.5%+$116.05
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+64.6%+$20.91
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.5%+$13.59
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.03
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Spread: Oregon (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.7%+$19.69
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.1%+$9.32
Spread: Army (-8.5)backed Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-83.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.58
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$506.71
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$67
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-2.5)backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-3.5)backed Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.49
Fordham Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$27.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+82.7%+$9.1
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.1%+$31.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.