College Football · resolved market
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe28be1f5a120125194495a1a414b69b5b6f0df1db581915a44be24aaa9b00ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregonof Oregon, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 97,326$51,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,232.03 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Oregon | 47c | 80,000$37,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,400 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 77,573$37,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,947.99 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Oregon | 48c | 62,697$30,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,602.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 60,209$30,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,704.36 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oregon | 50c | 55,986$28,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,826.37 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon | 51c | 40,404$20,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,720.2 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 33,884$17,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,250 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Oregon | 49c | 26,350$12,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,515.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 16,216$8,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,586.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon | 48c | 12,530$6,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.44 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 5,085$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oregon | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.96 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 4,512$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Oregon | 57c | 4,416$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.4 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…e118backed Oregon | 51c | 4,203$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Oregon | 50c | 4,036$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.01 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Oregon | 50c | 4,010$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.04 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 3c | 3,751$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 3,426$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.66 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon | 48c | 2,954$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.06 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oregon | 49c | 2,912$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.18 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Oregon | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Oregon | 44c | 2,193$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.08 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.74 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 1,743$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon | 48c | 1,659$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.67 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Oregon | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Oregon | 60c | 1,437$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Oregon | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.69 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Oregon | 48c | 1,026$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.18 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Oregon | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 58c | 860.29$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Oregon | 48c | 825$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Oregon | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Oregon | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…3f81backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 639.61$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Oregon | 48c | 559.2$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Oregon | 48c | 544.09$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 31c | 511.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Oregon | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…d8afbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 459.58$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Oregon | 55c | 447.49$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Oregon | 46c | 439.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Oregon | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Oregon | 66c | 379.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oregon | 51c | 372.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.71 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Oregon | 56c | 371.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 370$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…87f3backed Oregon | 49c | 354.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oregon | 49c | 326.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.24 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 326.26$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 316.3$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oregon | 49c | 305.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…fc2ebacked Oregon | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 297$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 291.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…1c79backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 41c | 244.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 219.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Oregon | 48c | 217.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Oregon | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Oregon | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 43c | 203.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Oregon | 49c | 202.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Oregon | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Oregon | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Oregon | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Oregon | 57c | 178.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Oregon | 63c | 173.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Oregon | 44c | 156.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 152$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Oregon | 63c | 147.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…0e37backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 147.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Oregon | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 125.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Oregon | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Oregon | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…74eabacked Oregon | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Oregon | 49c | 107.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…31a5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 58c | 105.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oregon | 65c | 100.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Oregon | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Oregon | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oregon (-2.5)this page
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersOregon won
- Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: 1H MoneylineOregon won
- Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5Under won
- Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Oregon (-1.5)Oregon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.