Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc010b49224a58c0d3e4e49e94a9cb3eefe538304424106a02114beaa15bf40cd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,363 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in College Football
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Over	46c	20,810$9,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,572.46	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under	54c	19,722$10,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,072.09	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	53c	14,045$7,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,601.34	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	47c	10,552$4,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,959.6	659	45.2%298 W · 361 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	46c	2,714$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.57	2,013	49.6%999 W · 1,014 L	+24.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	54c	2,316$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.36	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	53c	1,700$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799	176	55.1%97 W · 79 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Under	54c	1,222$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.12	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over	46c	927.35$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.58	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.9wins	+0.20per pick	48cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Under	54c	927.35$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.58	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fcb…08fbbacked Under	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	46c	752.46$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.15	935	48.4%453 W · 482 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	47c	600$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eee…bc95backed Under	55c	324.51$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.03	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	53c	323$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.81	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	47c	240$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.8	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	46c	239.82$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.32	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0a…69d3backed Under	55c	220$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Under	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	53c	190$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.3	568	44.5%253 W · 315 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	46c	165.3$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.42	284	40.8%116 W · 168 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Under	50c	160$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	49c	143.14$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	262	44.3%116 W · 146 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Under	54c	142.59$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.59	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Under	54c	127.23$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.53	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	47c	112.49$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.87	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	48cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	46c	108$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over	46c	99.84$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	47c	90$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	47c	90$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	47c	90$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under	54c	80.91$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.22	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Under	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	47c	72$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	47c	72$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	46c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	47c	54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over	45c	54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	399	54.1%216 W · 183 L	+21.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under	53c	50.08$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.54	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over	47c	45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	46c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4de…b91ebacked Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…4c2cbacked Under	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	46c	27.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	485	46.8%227 W · 258 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over	47c	25.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-5.1wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over	47c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5this page
O/U 52.5Under won
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersOregon won
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: 1H MoneylineOregon won
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5Under won
Spread: Oregon (-1.5)Oregon won
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)Oregon won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event