NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a872aaeae7fd02ff6e434f5bf6f7fe4a8ca9397a145b21291d4fd40492479b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Lakers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $736,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hornets | 48c | 612,477$293,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318,809.17 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lakers | 52c | 307,971$160,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,145.12 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 52c | 245,816$127,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,824.25 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 55c | 32,838$18,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,042.87 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hornets | 47c | 21,681$10,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,490.93 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 53c | 21,395$11,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,339.09 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 52c | 20,771$10,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,801.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 54c | 18,717$10,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,107.17 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 45c | 18,158$8,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,983.23 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 46c | 16,911$7,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,165.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 46c | 15,500$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 53c | 15,478$8,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,195.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Lakers | 54c | 14,198$7,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,666.94 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets | 46c | 7,654$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.69 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Hornets | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 46c | 3,888$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.14 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 46c | 2,494$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Lakers | 54c | 1,938$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.64 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,481$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Hornets | 46c | 1,102$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.21 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Hornets | 46c | 899.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.99 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Lakers | 54c | 859.26$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Lakers | 53c | 665.25$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.58 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 46c | 612.01$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.17 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Lakers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Lakers | 53c | 469.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Hornets | 45c | 439.76$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Lakers | 53c | 404.15$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Lakers | 54c | 324.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7c…6be3backed Lakers | 55c | 318.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Lakers | 54c | 296.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Lakers | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 52c | 272.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Lakers | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Hornets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Lakers | 53c | 210.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Lakers | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Lakers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Lakers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Lakers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Lakers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Lakers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Lakers | 23c | 161.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Lakers | 33c | 142.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 36c | 122.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a2…12b2backed Lakers | 54c | 113.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Hornets | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…661dbacked Hornets | 41c | 106.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 48c | 102.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…6cabbacked Lakers | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Lakers | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Lakers | 54c | 100.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Hornets | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Lakers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Lakers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Lakers | 53c | 81.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Lakers | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Lakers | 79c | 77.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Lakers | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…fdefbacked Lakers | 54c | 76.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Lakers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…9975backed Lakers | 49c | 70.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Lakers | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Hornets | 47c | 65.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hornets | 48c | 61.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…935ebacked Lakers | 54c | 60.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…9c15backed Lakers | 52c | 56.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hornets | 65c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…c7cbbacked Hornets | 47c | 52.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Lakers | 67c | 45.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7eb…093ebacked Lakers | 26c | 43.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Hornets | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Lakers | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 40c | 39.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Hornets | 47c | 35.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Hornets | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Lakers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hornets | 59c | 27.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Lakers | 69c | 21.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Lakers | 54c | 19.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. LakersHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.