NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x876fa1f6d7346958061bb91aa878fa4aff3bf8244c433ae4cb4cdb0ea185a68a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 34,880$17,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,440.16 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 19,608$9,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,803.92 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 51c | 16,939$8,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,299.87 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 16,330$8,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,304.2 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 12,352$6,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,176 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 9,641$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.1 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 6,264$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 49c | 4,336$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.8 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 2,384$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.16 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Under | 47c | 2,241$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.27 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.18 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 51c | 1,057$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.86 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 1,003$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 315$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 51c | 295$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 7c | 261.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 47c | 219.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 219.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 54c | 185.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 50c | 158.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 49c | 109.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 53c | 93.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 52c | 86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 73.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Over | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 64.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 63.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…14debacked Over | 52c | 50.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Under | 50c | 39.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Over | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Over | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 28.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Over | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Over | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…0e63backed Over | 53c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. LakersHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.