TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Lakers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers47c11,059$5,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,157.932,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Hornets53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers47c8,401$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.133,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets53c8,223$4,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,860.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers43c3,171$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.192,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Lakers60c2,485$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets48c1,308$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.432,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Lakers43c1,306$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.9223250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3344…9175backed Lakers26c1,165$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.871136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lakers41c1,141$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.542,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hornets53c1,113$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.912,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Hornets47c1,030$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.610744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hornets58c1,003$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.0351651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets55c937.26$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets39c653.25$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.842,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93d…f0c4backed Hornets46c652.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.833076.7%23 W · 7 L+8.8wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+69.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Hornets53c629.33$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.7922643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets39c616.13$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.843,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets57c554$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.542,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers2c553$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.062,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Hornets59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Hornets58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Hornets57c456.84$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.842560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Hornets54c444.44$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4442845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers43c420.09$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Hornets58c358.48$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.562133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Lakers57c351.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Hornets51c350$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Lakers60c333.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8230454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Hornets48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15614042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets53c300$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Lakers47c214.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Lakers42c208$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.668940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Lakers42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8411044.5%49 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Hornets58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef25…c969backed Lakers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets46c185.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…5685backed Hornets56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575836.2%21 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Lakers47c173.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5614547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Hornets60c167.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4524452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Lakers20c152.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.221,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Hornets58c146$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.326160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Lakers11c139.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets56c136$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.141,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Hornets58c130$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.65750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Hornets58c129.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.67454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Lakers30c100.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0531144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Hornets55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4563745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets54c86.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.383,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Hornets58c82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.444461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets55c78.62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.382,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Lakers41c75.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9422138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Hornets80c74.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Lakers43c67.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Hornets62c66.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.051,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…6fbabacked Lakers47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307936.7%29 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Lakers43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb0…3e75backed Lakers59c51.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.199154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hornets42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2937850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d50…436fbacked Hornets50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255048%24 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Lakers42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Lakers45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Lakers42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Lakers42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Lakers42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked Lakers42c49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.582040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fc…c985backed Lakers42c49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.581656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Lakers43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Lakers46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Hornets58c43.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1615758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cd…1f8bbacked Hornets59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.378958.4%52 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0d…6a87backed Lakers45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lakers56c39.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.531,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Lakers58c37.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.721,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Lakers41c36.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0316935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Hornets55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3624248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Lakers42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Lakers43c35.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1156454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets54c34.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.051,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Lakers42c33.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Hornets48c31.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.436756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers39c30.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.693,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fe…4293backed Lakers42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…a27cbacked Lakers49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lakers46c28.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.092,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Lakers42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.343743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Lakers42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1315…d32ebacked Lakers42c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.922343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Lakers42c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed Lakers42c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.922240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe988…f1f3backed Lakers40c25.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Lakers55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.758156.8%46 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Lakers50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd1…5490backed Hornets80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Lakers42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers43c24.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.432,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb570…25dbbacked Lakers42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.