NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a2fb22f50d7589252756c2403dc6fa25539506807088ca6542646038ee56cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,850,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,680,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,850,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seahawks | 52c | 801,111$416,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384,544.61 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 48c | 378,471$181,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,666.25 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Panthers | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,000 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Panthers | 48c | 60,024$29,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,011.63 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Seahawks | 51c | 48,952$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,951.83 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Panthers | 48c | 41,587$19,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,960 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Seahawks | 52c | 29,244$15,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,926.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Seahawks | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Panthers | 50c | 5,141$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.17 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Panthers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seahawks | 51c | 4,931$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.12 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Panthers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Panthers | 50c | 2,017$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Panthers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Panthers | 45c | 1,996$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.73 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05db…47d9backed Seahawks | 56c | 1,925$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Seahawks | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 49c | 1,170$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.3 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Panthers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Seahawks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Panthers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 54c | 857.54$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.54 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Panthers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Seahawks | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Panthers | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Seahawks | 71c | 452$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Panthers | 45c | 405$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Panthers | 49c | 352$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Panthers | 50c | 321.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Seahawks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Seahawks | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Panthers | 15c | 221.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Seahawks | 50c | 219.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Panthers | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Seahawks | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Panthers | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…7288backed Seahawks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Seahawks | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Seahawks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Seahawks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Panthers | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…22c1backed Seahawks | 52c | 193.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Seahawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Seahawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Seahawks | 22c | 191.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Seahawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Panthers | 48c | 179$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…57eebacked Panthers | 49c | 172.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Seahawks | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Seahawks | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Seahawks | 51c | 115.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5729backed Seahawks | 58c | 101.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Panthers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Panthers | 20c | 99.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Seahawks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Panthers | 49c | 95.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Seahawks | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Seahawks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Panthers | 48c | 67.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Panthers | 74c | 67.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Panthers | 48c | 66.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…5d26backed Panthers | 80c | 62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Panthers | 49c | 56.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Panthers | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Seahawks | 51c | 47.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seahawks | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Panthers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Panthers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Panthers | 51c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Panthers | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Seahawks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…4e72backed Seahawks | 51c | 38.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Seahawks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Seahawks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Seahawks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52a2…12b2backed Seahawks | 48c | 31.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Panthers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…399dbacked Panthers | 60c | 25.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Seahawks | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seahawks | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3658…614abacked Panthers | 49c | 20.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Panthers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seahawks | 53c | 19.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Panthers won
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Panthers won
- Seahawks vs. PanthersSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 28.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 38.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Panthers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.