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College Football · resolved market

Spread: Miami (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miamiof Miami, Ole Miss
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,205,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,727,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,205,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Ole Miss52c685,054$353,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,820.4316234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Miami48c512,700$245,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266,776.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami47c469,121$222,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246,672.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Ole Miss52c241,555$125,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,193.123857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Ole Miss52c118,764$62,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,304.595851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Miami48c100,820$48,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,426.562245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Miami47c70,000$32,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,1002040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Miami47c60,608$28,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,322.2915352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Miami62c46,846$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,846.322763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Miami47c44,044$20,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,348.7793548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Ole Miss53c38,013$20,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,14730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Ole Miss54c32,593$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Ole Miss52c30,000$15,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,699.916046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Ole Miss52c27,126$14,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,063.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ole Miss49c25,688$12,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,618.4952641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Miami49c25,000$12,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,851.043345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Miami49c24,000$11,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,240862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Ole Miss52c21,818$11,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,419.7711849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Miami47c21,679$10,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,489.8714743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Ole Miss52c18,888$9,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,821.767853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ole Miss54c15,000$8,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,040.0539954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ole Miss53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.9629055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Ole Miss53c13,912$7,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,373.614151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Ole Miss52c11,803$6,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,137.4811951.3%61 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Ole Miss54c10,711$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,784520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb789…706fbacked Ole Miss54c10,400$5,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,616650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+55.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Ole Miss53c10,252$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,433.564551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Ole Miss52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20024348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Ole Miss53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3004429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed Ole Miss53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Ole Miss53c9,000$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7303060%18 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Miami47c9,000$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,77038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Ole Miss54c8,955$4,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,806850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Ole Miss52c8,654$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5005446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Ole Miss53c8,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Ole Miss53c7,777$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.514841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Ole Miss53c7,000$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6901040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miami50c6,465$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.1962943.6%274 W · 355 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Miami46c6,429$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,471.6110848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Ole Miss53c6,414$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Ole Miss53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18011541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss52c5,514$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.522,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db0…d3eabacked Ole Miss52c5,400$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Miami47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.153855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Miami49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Ole Miss54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7008348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Ole Miss53c4,815$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ole Miss52c4,239$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.7552449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Miami47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22620450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Miami47c4,150$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Miami47c3,621$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.2158850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ole Miss37c3,548$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.5763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ole Miss48c3,510$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.8915252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d81…e643backed Ole Miss54c3,400$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Miami48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5604643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Ole Miss53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Ole Miss47c2,624$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.56560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Miami47c2,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.997145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Ole Miss43c2,350$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…f37ebacked Ole Miss54c2,315$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b8…a8ebbacked Ole Miss54c2,200$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Miami53c2,129$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.411936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Ole Miss53c2,083$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.1319849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ole Miss47c2,080$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.4526244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Miami46c2,017$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.581172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Miami50c2,003$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Miami47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Ole Miss54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Ole Miss53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Ole Miss53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Miami48c1,858$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.992055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Miami49c1,800$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92314836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Ole Miss50c1,793$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Miami47c1,702$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Miami47c1,600$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84811149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Miami47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.994445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Miami47c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.171861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Miami48c1,440$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.64250%21 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Ole Miss52c1,433$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.2210047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ole Miss53c1,415$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Ole Miss72c1,360$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.936753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Ole Miss52c1,332$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Miami63c1,321$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.435565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Ole Miss52c1,120$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.584744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e9…e8e9backed Ole Miss54c1,087$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Ole Miss54c1,086$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Miami47c1,066$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.734647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Miami49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Ole Miss54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Miami61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Ole Miss53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Ole Miss53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f11…157abacked Ole Miss53c937.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed Ole Miss54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Ole Miss54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Ole Miss54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Ole Miss54c915.65$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.451428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Miami47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4772564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Ole Miss53c834$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.023240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Miami48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.333141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.