College Football · resolved market
Miami vs. Ole Miss: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb8fcbc8905aac8d875287a60cbceb696959c54b0bacec2d8423e83c2af397df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miamiof Miami, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Miami | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +55%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss | 42c | 1,122$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.22 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ole Miss | 42c | 811.66$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ole Miss | 45c | 417$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss | 34c | 276.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Ole Miss | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Miami | 54c | 220.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Ole Miss | 46c | 220.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Miami | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…91dfbacked Miami | 58c | 199.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Miami | 54c | 199.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Miami | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Miami | 9c | 180.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Miami | 52c | 150.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Miami | 73c | 148.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…69d3backed Miami | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Miami | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…67bbbacked Miami | 65c | 71.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Ole Miss | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ole Miss | 43c | 59.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Ole Miss | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Miami | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Ole Miss | 45c | 37.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Ole Miss | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Miami | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed Miami | 57c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…1439backed Miami | 57c | 34.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ole Miss | 43c | 33.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Ole Miss | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Miami | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a2…12b2backed Miami | 53c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami vs. Ole Miss: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Miami vs. Ole MissMiami won
- Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 52.5Over won
- Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 53.5Over won
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (-3.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.