College Football · resolved market
Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 53.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x952a61d19e2237979b4a151f7d2b2063392a1d0416d014666f548bc02258d699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Under | 54c | 37,868$20,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,444.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 29,713$13,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,045.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 5,652$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.19 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 47c | 4,305$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.57 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 4,115$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.58 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 39c | 2,491$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Over | 48c | 1,927$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 62c | 1,229$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.15 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 61c | 1,198$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.63 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 458.14$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.23 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Under | 53c | 255.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…69d3backed Under | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Under | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 53.5this page
- Miami vs. Ole MissMiami won
- Miami vs. Ole Miss: 1H MoneylineMiami won
- Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 52.5Over won
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (-3.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.