NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x476b715c5f978d82a3b4d7282322887edaebb91bfd5513980d010803987253d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Canadiens, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $646,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $659,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Sabres | 46c | 241,448$112,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,245.48 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 53c | 165,935$88,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,714.02 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Canadiens | 54c | 55,400$29,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,915.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 34,336$18,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,541.58 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 53c | 32,667$17,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,234.29 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 46c | 30,720$14,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,457.9 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Sabres | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.82 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Sabres | 46c | 21,379$9,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,541.04 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Canadiens | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 46c | 13,803$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.66 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 54c | 12,000$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canadiens | 54c | 10,810$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.71 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canadiens | 43c | 9,900$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.84 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Canadiens | 53c | 8,319$4,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.19 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Canadiens | 53c | 8,001$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240.78 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canadiens | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 47c | 6,997$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.37 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Canadiens | 53c | 6,565$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.45 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sabres | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Sabres | 51c | 5,720$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.79 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sabres | 48c | 5,264$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.76 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sabres | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Canadiens | 51c | 4,825$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.75 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 52c | 4,568$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.36 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 56c | 4,400$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.01 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Sabres | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 53c | 3,847$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.87 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sabres | 52c | 3,795$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.51 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Sabres | 49c | 3,735$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.69 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 43c | 3,674$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.84 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…6ad4backed Sabres | 47c | 3,138$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Sabres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sabres | 46c | 2,941$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.3 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canadiens | 49c | 2,755$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Canadiens | 39c | 2,741$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.01 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Sabres | 53c | 2,642$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.51 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canadiens | 52c | 2,619$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.9 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Sabres | 49c | 2,498$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.96 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 46c | 2,469$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.26 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed Canadiens | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Canadiens | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 67c | 1,987$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.39 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,953$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.39 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…57b3backed Sabres | 49c | 1,953$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed Sabres | 49c | 1,937$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Sabres | 47c | 1,920$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.6 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…6c2abacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,741$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sabres | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Sabres | 51c | 1,729$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.13 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Sabres | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,583$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.89 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Sabres | 46c | 1,535$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.87 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 63c | 1,516$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.42 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,511$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.36 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Sabres | 50c | 1,508$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.48 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sabres | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,486$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.58 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 51c | 1,439$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.18 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,402$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.05 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,394$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.34 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,390$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.74 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked Sabres | 52c | 1,335$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Sabres | 50c | 1,288$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.27 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…87e5backed Sabres | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…26aebacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,174$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.43 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,172$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.16 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Sabres | 47c | 1,100$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.65 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Sabres | 51c | 1,081$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Sabres | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Canadiens | 53c | 995$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.35 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres | 77c | 969.8$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.23 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens | 49c | 957.31$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.08 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…547ebacked Sabres | 48c | 925$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Sabres | 50c | 925$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9485…ad43backed Sabres | 49c | 903.37$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Canadiens | 53c | 893.94$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.79 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Canadiens | 54c | 861.03$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Sabres | 48c | 856.05$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.08 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Canadiens | 53c | 844.7$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.22 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 8c | 830$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens | 52c | 819$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.18 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Sabres | 50c | 803.67$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Canadiens | 52c | 794$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.88 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0637…a4d7backed Canadiens | 52c | 776.17$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabresthis page
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.