NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77fff6e10214f181d5c5e6b472d36b19428b2396c7158590e8ec3086e1f380e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Eagles, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Commanders | 57c | 83,291$47,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,803.62 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Eagles | 49c | 62,911$30,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,827.1 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Commanders | 51c | 20,235$10,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,918.46 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Eagles | 44c | 18,385$8,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,103.55 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Eagles | 43c | 12,777$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494.11 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Commanders | 51c | 11,751$5,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.81 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Commanders | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Commanders | 51c | 8,143$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.07 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Eagles | 43c | 7,488$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Eagles | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Eagles | 43c | 5,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Eagles | 44c | 3,900$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Eagles | 42c | 3,626$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.93 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Eagles | 2c | 3,333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Eagles | 44c | 3,125$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.64 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Commanders | 56c | 3,106$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.49 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Commanders | 55c | 2,668$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.12 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Eagles | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Eagles | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Eagles | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Eagles | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Commanders | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 55c | 1,921$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.67 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Commanders | 52c | 1,858$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.73 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Eagles | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Eagles | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Eagles | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Eagles | 43c | 865$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.95 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Commanders | 55c | 821.59$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.72 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Commanders | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Eagles | 49c | 683.67$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Eagles | 47c | 653.52$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.75 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Commanders | 50c | 534$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Commanders | 55c | 480$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Eagles | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Commanders | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Commanders | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.88 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Commanders | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Commanders | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Commanders | 51c | 399.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Eagles | 45c | 379.62$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Eagles | 42c | 372$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Eagles | 45c | 333.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Eagles | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Commanders | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Eagles | 6c | 265.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Commanders | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Commanders | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Commanders | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…2c43backed Eagles | 50c | 238$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Eagles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Eagles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…b99abacked Eagles | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Commanders | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Eagles | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Commanders | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Commanders | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Eagles | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Eagles | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Commanders | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Commanders | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Eagles | 45c | 178.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Eagles | 45c | 175.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Commanders | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Commanders | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Commanders | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…21b7backed Eagles | 45c | 136.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Commanders | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…2f03backed Eagles | 45c | 129.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Commanders | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked Eagles | 46c | 119.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…ba8fbacked Eagles | 46c | 109.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Eagles | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Eagles | 44c | 103.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Eagles | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Commanders | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Commanders | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Eagles | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Commanders | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Eagles | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Commanders | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Eagles | 46c | 93.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Eagles | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Commanders | 58c | 81.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Commanders | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Eagles | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Commanders | 52c | 77.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Commanders | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…c62fbacked Eagles | 45c | 65.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-4.5)this page
- Commanders vs. EaglesCommanders won
- Commanders vs. Eagles: 1H MoneylineCommanders won
- Commanders vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Eagles: O/U 41.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Eagles (-8.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Eagles (-9.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.