TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Commandersof Eagles, Commanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Eagles47c30,777$14,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,465.0624957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Commanders53c18,647$9,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,764.0910650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles49c17,500$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Commanders50c15,869$7,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.131,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Commanders52c9,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,32026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Commanders52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Commanders53c7,977$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,74924053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Eagles47c4,800$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26228447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Commanders53c3,631$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.0839447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Eagles50c3,153$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.6920443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Commanders52c2,546$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.6714641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Commanders51c1,957$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.934362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Commanders52c1,672$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles49c1,656$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.7247348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Eagles47c1,500$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71019543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Eagles50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Eagles47c875.91$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.683441.2%14 W · 20 L-6.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eagles52c868.5$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.6950242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Eagles48c858.33$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4126738.8%26 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Eagles47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Commanders53c803$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.4177052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Eagles54c796$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.849447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Commanders51c700$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Eagles47c687.33$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0526649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Eagles47c664.45$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.2921254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Eagles48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28814151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Commanders53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2357533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Eagles48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405939%23 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders53c435.74$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9973651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Eagles53c416.67$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8439242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Commanders48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.676755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Eagles52c385.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004734%16 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Commanders53c377.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8516351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles47c351.85$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.371,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Commanders50c345$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Eagles47c342.3$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9426650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Eagles53c311.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3313448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Commanders52c302.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0530442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Commanders49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535339.6%21 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Eagles49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14720650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Commanders47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15922450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Commanders52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Eagles42c238.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Commanders53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.424951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Eagles48c222$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.568454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Commanders52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Commanders52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Eagles48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9613347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Eagles48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Eagles51c162.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0116349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Eagles54c146.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Eagles48c128.15$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.518839.8%35 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b8…799cbacked Eagles48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Eagles47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Eagles54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8f…9a78backed Eagles54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dab…2df1backed Eagles48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…d0cfbacked Commanders52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Commanders53c94.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1319651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aad…18f4backed Eagles54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507627.6%21 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Eagles53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019954.8%109 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Eagles48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516645.8%76 W · 90 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Commanders63c70.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7429439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Eagles33c68.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4513449.3%66 W · 68 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Eagles50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Commanders53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.65164.7%33 W · 18 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1760…c4edbacked Eagles54c55.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Commanders45c54.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3034652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Commanders47c52.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5894…90d8backed Eagles54c52.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Eagles48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418151.9%94 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…d9f6backed Eagles47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1725…7405backed Eagles48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Commanders51c40.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Commanders58c40.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8832043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Commanders53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7410555.2%58 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x715c…78c0backed Eagles54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eagles52c32.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9434247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8d…4dc6backed Commanders53c31.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.921872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Commanders52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.38451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Eagles51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.753737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Eagles61c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5314844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Eagles54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89251.1%47 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d15…6914backed Eagles50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109054.4%49 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.