NFL · resolved market
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc36cde2600a840127cad9accad3a299ea5b197e59a305ac7647d6c5f36c2c772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saintsof Saints, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Titans | 51c | 15,697$8,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,022.86 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saints | 49c | 14,459$7,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,433.43 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Titans | 53c | 11,503$6,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,121.59 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Saints | 49c | 10,000$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.58 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Titans | 51c | 8,535$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.01 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Titans | 52c | 8,246$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Saints | 48c | 8,246$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Saints | 53c | 5,300$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Titans | 50c | 5,014$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.07 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Titans | 53c | 4,619$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Titans | 52c | 4,468$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.18 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Titans | 51c | 3,365$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.55 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Saints | 47c | 3,120$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.6 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saints | 46c | 2,703$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.31 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Titans | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Saints | 47c | 1,828$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.21 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Saints | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Saints | 47c | 1,117$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.66 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Saints | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Saints | 47c | 1,062$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Saints | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Saints | 47c | 750$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Saints | 47c | 712$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.36 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Saints | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Saints | 47c | 638.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.66 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Titans | 53c | 633.96$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Titans | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Saints | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Saints | 48c | 560$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Saints | 48c | 529$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.67 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Saints | 46c | 405$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Titans | 53c | 397.47$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Titans | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Saints | 46c | 299.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Titans | 49c | 278.04$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Saints | 48c | 255.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Titans | 52c | 255.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Titans | 47c | 254.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Titans | 52c | 204.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Saints | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Titans | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Titans | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Titans | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Saints | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Titans | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Saints | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Titans | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Titans | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Saints | 50c | 99.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Titans | 53c | 96.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saints | 49c | 95.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Saints | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Titans | 54c | 90.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Titans | 56c | 87.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Titans | 74c | 87.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Saints | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Titans | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Titans | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Titans | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Saints | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Saints | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Titans | 53c | 58.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a2…12b2backed Saints | 48c | 55.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saints | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…cce3backed Saints | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…a2a1backed Saints | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Saints | 53c | 47.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Titans | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Saints | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Titans | 54c | 41.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Titans | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Titans | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Titans | 54c | 36.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Titans | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Saints | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Titans | 53c | 27.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…36dcbacked Titans | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…b10bbacked Titans | 54c | 24.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Saints | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saints | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saints (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Saints (-0.5)Titans won
- Saints vs. TitansSaints won
- Saints vs. Titans: O/U 38.5Over won
- Saints vs. Titans: O/U 39.5Over won
- Spread: Saints (-1.5)Saints won
- Spread: Saints (-3.5)Saints won
- Spread: Titans (-3.5)Saints won
- Spread: Titans (-5.5)Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.